Using a Semiparametric Estimator to Forecast Education Outcomes in Nicaragua's Red de Proteccion Social

R Thomas

Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers from HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York

Abstract: This paper uses baseline data from the randomized experiment of the conditional cash transfer program - Red de Proteccion Social, Nicaragua to conduct an ex ante evaluation and compares results to those of the experimental evaluation. Reduced form estimation of a behavioural model using a health production framework forms the basis of the evaluation. A Klein and Spady semi-parametric single index model is used to predict unobserved outcomes under the treatment. The sample consists of children aged 7-13 who have not completed grade 4 of primary school. The evaluation shows that the ex ante approach closely matches the experimental outcomes in most cases. ex ante evaluation conditional cash transfers single index models education

Keywords: ex ante evaluation; conditional cash transfers; single index models; education; health production function (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I12 I20 I38 O12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011-02
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:yor:hectdg:11/02

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