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A supermultiplier demand-led growth accounting analysis applied to the Spanish economy (1998-2019)

Héctor Labat-Moles and Ricardo de Figueiredo Summa

No 200/2022, IPE Working Papers from Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE)

Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the demand-led determinants of Spanish economic growth from 1998-2019. We apply the supermultiplier demand-led growth accounting methodology by Freitas/Dweck (2013) with two modifications: First, we incorporate consumption out of public transfers, following Haluska et al. (2021) and Haluska (2021). Second, we incorporate consumption out of public wages as a source of autonomous demand, theoretically suggested by Serrano/Pimentel (2019). Our demandled growth decomposition highlights (i) public demand and exports as important stable growth drivers, and a decreasing supermultiplier that reduces growth rates; (ii) the indirect effect of a real estate boom in the economic expansion of 1998-2008 caused by increasing public revenues and opening space to the expansion of public demand; (iii) the incapacity of exports to lead the recovery alone, as the latter started only with the resumption of the public and private demand.

Keywords: Supermultiplier; demand-led accounting; Spanish economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E11 E12 O47 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:ipewps:2002022

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