Quarterly GDP for Ireland since 1950

Sean Kenny and Rebecca Stuart

No 25-07, QUCEH Working Paper Series from Queen's University Belfast, Queen's University Centre for Economic History

Abstract: We construct estimates of quarterly GDP for Ireland from 1950, linking to official data from 1995 onward, using a novel factor-augmented Chow-Lin interpolation. Compared to the only alternative series (OECD, 2025), our procedure exploits the variation in a large number of official quarterly economic data and our estimates are broadly consistent with contemporary reports. Our series permits a more granular identification of business cycle turning points than was previously possible. The frequency and magnitude of quarterly contractions in the 1950s and 1980s dwarfed those of other decades resulting in lower average growth rates. In contrast, the 1990s are confirmed as a decisive period of higher growth and rapid convergence.

Keywords: Irish quarterly GDP; principal components; Chow-Lin interpolation; factors; economic growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E01 N14 O40 O47 P44 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur, nep-his and nep-inv
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:qucehw:320436

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