Belarus: Sovereignty under threat. Impacts of the Russian war against Ukraine

Manfred Huterer and Astrid Sahm

No 22/2024, SWP Comments from Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), German Institute for International and Security Affairs

Abstract: Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 also called the sovereignty of Belarus into question. The country served as a launching pad for the attack, thus becoming a co-aggressor. However, relations between Minsk and Moscow changed the longer the war has lasted. Belarusian leader Lukashenka has increasingly acted like a self-confident war service provider toward Kremlin boss Putin. At the same time, he has been able to avoid any direct military involvement and has sought to preserve his chance at serving as a mediator. Nevertheless, Belarus' structural dependence on Russia has continued to increase in many areas. Right now, this gradual loss of sovereignty can still be reversed. In order for this to remain the situation, the EU and Germany must not write the country off.

Keywords: Belarus; Russia; Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine; Alexander Lukashenka; Vladimir Putin; Yevgeny Prigozhin; Union State of Russia and Belarus (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cis and nep-tra
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:swpcom:299528

DOI: 10.18449/2024C22

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