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The Empirical Implications of the Interest-Rate Lower Bound

Christopher Gust, Edward Herbst (), David López-Salido and Matthew E. Smith

American Economic Review, 2017, vol. 107, issue 7, 1971-2006

Abstract: Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a nonlinear DSGE model in which the interest-rate lower bound is occasionally binding. We quantify the size and nature of disturbances that pushed the US economy to the lower bound in late 2008 as well as the contribution of the lower bound constraint to the resulting economic slump. We find that the interest-rate lower bound was a significant constraint on monetary policy that exacerbated the recession and inhibited the recovery, as our mean estimates imply that the zero lower bound (ZLB) accounted for about 30 percent of the sharp contraction in US GDP that occurred in 2009 and an even larger fraction of the slow recovery that followed.

JEL-codes: E12 E23 E32 E43 E52 G01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.20121437
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Working Paper: The Empirical Implications of the Interest-Rate Lower Bound (2016) Downloads
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