Econometrics and Presidential Elections

Ray Fair ()

Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1996, vol. 10, issue 3, 89-102

Abstract: This paper discusses an econometric equation that explains votes for president as a function of economic events and incumbency information. The history of the equation is reviewed, the update after the 1992 election is discussed, and a prediction for the 1996 election is made conditional on an economic forecast.

JEL-codes: D72 E17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1996
Note: DOI: 10.1257/jep.10.3.89
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (72)

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