Vulnerability of the agriculture of Burundi to climate change: A review and linkages between climate change, food security, and food production

Jean Baptiste Aboyitungiye and Suryanto

Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, 2025, vol. 25, issue 02

Abstract: [EN] Climate change critically affects food production, availability, and stability, particularly in regions that rely on subsistence agriculture. This study examines the relationship between climate variables and food security indicators in Burundi from 1990 to 2022 using a co-integration model within an Error Correction Model framework. Results reveal that precipitation positively influences food production annually but negatively in the long run. Food consumption, producer prices, and rural populations also exhibited long-run negative effects. The findings highlight the adverse impact of climate change on agricultural yields, emphasizing the need for strategies to enhance productivity, resilience, and sustainability among smallholder farmers. [ES] El cambio climático afecta críticamente la producción, disponibilidad y estabilidad de los alimentos, especialmente en regiones dependientes de la agricultura de subsistencia. Este estudio analiza la relación entre variables climáticas e indicadores de seguridad alimentaria en Burundi (1990–2022) mediante un modelo de cointegración basado en el enfoque de Corrección de Errores. Los resultados muestran que la precipitación influye positivamente en la producción anual, pero negativamente a largo plazo. El consumo de alimentos, los precios al productor y la población rural también presentan efectos negativos sostenidos. Los hallazgos evidencian el impacto adverso del cambio climático y la necesidad de fortalecer productividad, resiliencia y sostenibilidad agrícola.

Keywords: Agricultural; and; Food; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:earnsa:393841

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.393841

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