Analysis of Trade Patterns and Duration: Evidence from Food Industry in the OECD countries

Yung-Hsuan Lina, Pei-Yu Chia and Kuo-I Chang

International Journal on Food System Dynamics, 2021, vol. 12, issue 03

Abstract: This study conducts Kaplan-Meier survival estimates on food trade patterns among the OECD countries and explores whether different survival conditions exist in different trade patterns of food sub-industries. By applying the extended Cox proportional hazard model, this study examines the effects of consumption on the survival rate for horizontal intra-industry trade pattern at the SITC four-digits level. Our findings show an important policy implication that the stability of horizontal intra-industry trade on the survival duration is driven by consumption in food industry among the OECD countries. Therefore, we suggest that policies should encourage the support of the horizontal intra-industry trade within the food industry to avoid unstable durations of trade in the global supply chain caused by the severe employment adjustments associated with traditional comparative advantage.

Keywords: International; Relations/Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:ijofsd:346654

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.346654

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