Analysis of Expected Price Dynamics Between Fluid Milk Futures Contracts and Cash Prices for Fluid Milk

T. Randall Fortenbery, Robert A. Cropp and Hector O. Zapata

Journal of Agribusiness, 1997, vol. 15, issue 2, 20

Abstract: Future contracts for fluid milk began trading in late 1995 and early 1996. This paper investigates the potential use of fluid milk futures contracts as hedge vehicles for dairy producers in the Upper Midwest and California markets. This is done by developing simulated futures prices for the period 1988 to 1995. The simulated futures prices are used to estimate basis relationships between cash and futures prices for the markets considered. Results suggest that the fluid milk futures contracts could be used to reduce market price risk for producers in the Upper Midwest. Results were less conclusive for California producers.

Keywords: Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1997
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Working Paper: ANALYSIS OF EXPECTED PRICE DYNAMICS BETWEEN FLUID MILK FUTURES CONTRACTS AND CASH PRICES FOR FLUID MILK (1997)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:jloagb:90427

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.90427

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