Market integration among foreign exchange rate movements in central and eastern European countries

Ngo Thai Hung ()
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Ngo Thai Hung: Faculty of Economics and Law, University of Finance-Marketing, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

Society and Economy, 2020, vol. 42, issue 1, 1-20

Abstract: This study focuses on the level of interdependence across the Central and Eastern European (CEE) foreign exchange markets (Hungary, Poland, the Czech Republic, Romania and Croatia) from September 2008 to September 2017, using the return spillover measure proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009; 2012). We mainly find a bidirectional volatility spillover among these assets and the cross-market linkages in the CEE region have become stronger over time. Furthermore, the Czech exchange market has a significant influence on the rest of the foreign exchange markets. The total spillover remained very high over the periods 2010–2012 and 2015–2017, despite the noteworthy fluctuations in other periods. These results would also be useful for portfolio managers, policy makers and speculative traders to develop exploitable strategies, by providing knowledge of the transmission mechanisms of the volatility of foreign exchange markets. The results may support the distribution of assets in a financial portfolio, especially after financial integration.

Keywords: exchange rates; volatility spillovers; spillover index; CEE countries (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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