Should I Stay or Should I Go? Transitions to Inactivity in Poland

Olga Zajkowska and Paulina Broniatowska

Ekonomista, 2025, issue 3, 352-378

Abstract: Given Poland’s aging population, maintaining the labor supply is a major long-term policy challenge. This study investigates the determinants of individual decisions to leave the labor force. The flow probabilities were estimated using the rotating panel data from the 2010–2019 Polish Labor Force Survey (PLFS). We find that these decisions depend not only on life-cycle moment, educational level, and work experience, but also on family arrangements and work-life preferences. We also discuss that agricultural employment can be considered a labor force buffer in rural areas.

Keywords: Agriculture; Worker Flows; Multinomial Logit; Labor Market Transitions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J21 J62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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