Macroeconomic Determinants of Youth Unemployment: A Comparative Analysis of Poland and Türkiye

Mehmet Bölükbaş and Eugeniusz Kwiatkowski

Ekonomista, 2025, issue 3, 379-403

Abstract: The paper analyzes the impact of economic growth, inflation, and temporary employment on youth unemployment in Poland and Türkiye in 2000–2023. The main aim is to determine the short- and long-term impact of the GDP growth rate, the inflation rate, and the proportion of temporary employment on the youth unemployment rate. An econometric analysis was conducted on 2007–2020 data using the ARDL Bounds Test method. It found that while economic growth reduces youth unemployment in both countries, a rise in inflation appears to increase it. It further found that an increase in temporary employment increases youth unemployment in Poland, but that this is not significant in Türkiye.

Keywords: Youth Unemployment; Economic Growth; Inflation; Temporary Employment; ARDL Model; Comparative Analysis: Poland and Türkiye (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 E31 F43 O57 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:aoq:ekonom:y:2025:i:3:p:379-403

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