Impacts of Monetary Policy Shocks on Inflation and Output in New Zealand

Robert Kirkby and Huong Ngoc Vu

The Economic Record, 2024, vol. 100, issue 329, 160-187

Abstract: We identify monetary policy shocks in New Zealand as 1‐day changes in the whole yield curve around monetary policy announcements. The impacts of these shocks on inflation and output are estimated using functional local projections. We find that the effects of monetary policy shocks are standard in the short run but might be different in the long run. Monetary policy shocks in a small open economy have similar effects as in a large economy, except that unconventional monetary policy announcements have limited impact on long‐term interest rates. Accounting for forward guidance, used in New Zealand since 1997, is important.

Date: 2024
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https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-4932.12792

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