A Quantitative Assessment of the Effect of First Contract Arbitration on Bargaining Relationships

Bradley R. Weinberg

Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, 2015, vol. 54, issue 3, 449-477

Abstract: type="main" xml:id="irel12098-abs-0001">

This article investigates first contract arbitration's (FCA) capacity to foster bargaining relationships and deter misconduct by analyzing its effect on decertifications. Using time-series cross-sectional (TSCS) analysis with data from nine Canadian provinces over a four-decade period, it shows: (1) FCA correlates with 20 to 37 percent fewer decertifications in provinces that have an FCA provision relative to those that do not; (2) of the various types of FCA, the automatic and fault forms have the most robust effect on decertifications while the mediation-arbitration form may have the largest effect on decertifications; and (3) the effect of FCA is heightened in the presence of card-check certification such that the best results for fostering bargaining relationships may be found in the presence of both policies.

Date: 2015
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