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Revisiting Estimation of Number of Trials in Binomial Distribution

Mina Georgieva and Brani Vidakovic

International Statistical Review, 2025, vol. 93, issue 2, 246-266

Abstract: Estimating the parameter n when p is known or simultaneous estimation of n and p of the binomial distribution based on k≥1 independent observations has been considered by many authors over the last several decades. A range of estimators have been proposed, and questions regarding asymptotic and small sample properties received adequate treatment. In this paper, we provide an extensive review and a comprehensive performance comparison of the estimators from the literature. We propose a conceptually simple estimator of n that uses the marginal likelihood when p is integrated out by simultaneous optimisation w.r.t. n and the hyperparameters. We compare the proposed estimator with various existing estimators and find its performance competitive and, in some scenarios, superior.

Date: 2025
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https://doi.org/10.1111/insr.12608

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