Exponential Growth Bias and Household Finance
Victor Stango and
Journal of Finance, 2009, vol. 64, issue 6, 2807-2849
Exponential growth bias is the pervasive tendency to linearize exponential functions when assessing them intuitively. We show that exponential growth bias can explain two stylized facts in household finance: the tendency to underestimate an interest rate given other loan terms, and the tendency to underestimate a future value given other investment terms. Bias matters empirically: More‐biased households borrow more, save less, favor shorter maturities, and use and benefit more from financial advice, conditional on a rich set of household characteristics. There is little evidence that our measure of exponential growth bias merely proxies for broader financial sophistication.
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:64:y:2009:i:6:p:2807-2849
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