Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A

1988 - 2022

Current editor(s): A. Chevalier and L. Sharples

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Volume 176, issue 4, 2013

Editorial: Counting the dead properly and promptly pp. 815-817

Sheila M. Bird

Statistics making an impact pp. 819-840

John Pullinger

Handedness, health and cognitive development: evidence from children in the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth pp. 841-860

David Johnston, Michael E. R. Nicholls, Manisha Shah and Michael Shields

Does high involvement management lead to higher pay? pp. 861-885

Petri Böckerman, Alex Bryson and Pekka Ilmakunnas

Social mobility, regression to the mean and the cognitive development of high ability children from disadvantaged homes pp. 887-906

John Jerrim and Anna Vignoles

Assortative mating and divorce: evidence from Austrian register data pp. 907-929

Wolfgang Frimmel, Martin Halla and Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

Quantifying the effect of area deprivation on child pedestrian casualties by using longitudinal mixed models to adjust for confounding, interference and spatial dependence pp. 931-950

Daniel Graham, Emma J. McCoy and David A. Stephens

Scarring effects of remaining unemployed for long-term unemployed school-leavers pp. 951-980

Bart Cockx and Matteo Picchio

Volume 176, issue 3, 2013

Ratings and rankings: voodoo or science? pp. 609-634

Paolo Paruolo, Michaela Saisana and Andrea Saltelli

Measures of the economic value of probabilities of bankruptcy pp. 635-653

D. J. Johnstone, S. Jones, V. R. R. Jose and M. Peat

Spatial vote redistribution in redrawn polling units pp. 655-678

Jose M. Pavía and Antonio López-Quílez

Social stratification and out-of-school learning pp. 679-701

Christian Andersson and Per Johansson

The heterogeneous thresholds ordered response model: identification and inference pp. 703-722

Franco Peracchi and Claudio Rossetti

Forecasting the European carbon market pp. 723-741

Gary Koop and Lise Tole

Predicting inflation dynamics with singular spectrum analysis pp. 743-760

Hossein Hassani, Abdol Soofi and Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Are big charities becoming more dominant?: cross-sectional and longitudinal perspectives pp. 761-776

Peter Backus and David Clifford

Statistical analysis of varieties of English pp. 777-793

Christopher F. H. Nam, Sach Mukherjee, Marco Schilk and Joybrato Mukherjee

Bayesian hierarchical semiparametric modelling of longitudinal post-treatment outcomes from open enrolment therapy groups pp. 795-808

Susan M. Paddock and Terrance D. Savitsky

Volume 176, issue 2, 2013

Editorial: On the orthography of heteros edasticity pp. 291-293

Alfredo Paloyo

Gender wage differentials in Mexico: a distributional approach pp. 295-319

Gurleen Popli

Epidemics in semi-isolated communities: statistical perspectives on acute childhood diseases in English public boarding schools, 1930–1939 pp. 321-346

Matthew Smallman-Raynor and Andrew D. Cliff

The group size and loyalty of football fans: a two-stage estimation procedure to compare customer potentials across teams pp. 347-369

Leif Brandes, Egon Franck and Philipp Theiler

Assessing the accuracy of non-random business conditions surveys: a novel approach pp. 371-388

Daniel de Munnik, Mark Illing and David Dupuis

A spatial Poisson hurdle model for exploring geographic variation in emergency department visits pp. 389-413

Brian Neelon, Pulak Ghosh and Patrick F. Loebs

Analysing censored longitudinal data with non-ignorable missing values: depression in older age pp. 415-430

Milena Falcaro, Neil Pendleton and Andrew Pickles

Widening participation in higher education: analysis using linked administrative data pp. 431-457

Haroon Chowdry, Claire Crawford, Lorraine Dearden, Alissa Goodman and Anna Vignoles

Aggregate fluctuations and the cross-sectional dynamics of firm growth pp. 459-479

Sean Holly, Ivan Petrella and Emiliano Santoro

The Master of the Royal Mint: how much money did Isaac Newton save Britain? pp. 481-498

Ari Belenkiy

Experiments with methods to reduce attrition in longitudinal surveys pp. 499-519

Laura Fumagalli, Heather Laurie and Peter Lynn

Variance estimation of the Gini index: revisiting a result several times published pp. 521-540

Matti Langel and Yves Tillé

Intergenerational persistence in income and social class: the effect of within-group inequality pp. 541-563

Joanne Blanden, Paul Gregg and Lindsey Macmillan

Which method predicts recidivism best?: a comparison of statistical, machine learning and data mining predictive models pp. 565-584

N. Tollenaar and P. G. M. van der Heijden

Development of a geographical framework for census workplace data pp. 585-602

David Martin, Samantha Cockings and Andrew Harfoot

The risky reliance on small surrogate end point studies when planning a large prevention trial pp. 603-608

Stuart G. Baker and Barnett S. Kramer

Volume 176, issue 1, 2013

Editorial: The use of paradata in social survey research pp. 1-3

Gabriele Durrant and Frauke Kreuter

Experimental designs for identifying causal mechanisms pp. 5-51

Kosuke Imai, Dustin Tingley and Teppei Yamamoto

A Bayesian approach to complex clinical diagnoses: a case-study in child abuse pp. 53-96

Nicky Best, Deborah Ashby, Frank Dunstan, David Foreman and Neil McIntosh

Fairness and the changing fortunes of people in Britain pp. 97-128

Danny Dorling

Do non-response follow-ups improve or reduce data quality?: a review of the existing literature pp. 129-145

Kristen Olson

Using level-of-effort paradata in non-response adjustments with application to field surveys pp. 147-168

Paul P. Biemer, Patrick Chen and Kevin Wang

Tailored fieldwork design to increase representative household survey response: an experiment in the Survey of Consumer Satisfaction pp. 169-189

Annemieke Luiten and Barry Schouten

Interviewer speech and the success of survey invitations pp. 191-210

Frederick G. Conrad, Jessica S. Broome, José R. Benkí, Frauke Kreuter, Robert M. Groves, David Vannette and Colleen McClain

An examination of the quality and utility of interviewer observations in the National Survey of Family Growth pp. 211-225

Brady T. West

Assessing the measurement error properties of interviewer observations of neighbourhood characteristics pp. 227-249

C. Casas-Cordero, F. Kreuter, Y. Wang and S. Babey

Analysing interviewer call record data by using a multilevel discrete time event history modelling approach pp. 251-269

Gabriele B. Durrant, Julia D'Arrigo and Fiona Steele

Using paradata to explore item level response times in surveys pp. 271-286

Mick P. Couper and Frauke Kreuter

Volume 175, issue 4, 2012

Causality, mediation and time: a dynamic viewpoint pp. 831-861

Odd O. Aalen, Kjetil Røysland, Jon Michael Gran and Bruno Ledergerber

When, where and how to perform efficiency estimation pp. 863-892

Oleg Badunenko, Daniel Henderson and Subal Kumbhakar

A profile of obesity in Ireland, 2002–2007 pp. 893-914

David Madden

Non-response biases in surveys of schoolchildren: the case of the English Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) samples pp. 915-938

John Micklewright, Sylke Schnepf and Chris Skinner

Syndromic surveillance of influenza-like illness in Scotland during the influenza A H1N1v pandemic and beyond pp. 939-958

Kimberley Kavanagh, Chris Robertson, Heather Murdoch, George Crooks and Jim McMenamin

The synoptic problem: on Matthew's and Luke's use of Mark pp. 959-975

Andris Abakuks

Non-parametric Econometrics pp. 1072-1072

Chee Kian Leong

Visualizing Data Patterns with Micromaps pp. 1072-1073

M. Dolores Ugarte

Networks, Crowds and Markets: Reasoning about a Highly Connected World pp. 1073-1073

Morteza Aalabaf-Sabaghi

Biplots in Practice pp. 1073-1074

Eric Beh

Dynamic Mixed Models for Familial Longitudinal Data pp. 1074-1075

Vandna Jowaheer

Volume 175, issue 3, 2012

Log-optimal economic evaluation of probability forecasts pp. 661-689

D. J. Johnstone

Sample size estimation for alternating logistic regressions analysis of multilevel randomized community trials of under-age drinking pp. 691-712

Beth A. Reboussin, John S. Preisser, Eun-Young Song and Mark Wolfson

Assessing gross domestic product and inflation probability forecasts derived from Bank of England fan charts pp. 713-727

John Galbraith and Simon van Norden

Improved probabilistic prediction of healthcare performance indicators using bidirectional smoothing models pp. 729-747

Hayley E. Jones and David J. Spiegelhalter

How real is mobility between low pay, high pay and non-employment? pp. 749-773

Dimitris Pavlopoulos, Ruud Muffels and Jeroen K. Vermunt

Evaluating the effects of university grants by using regression discontinuity designs pp. 775-798

Fabrizia Mealli and Carla Rampichini

Hilda Mary Woods MBE, DSc, LRAM, FSS (1892–1971): reflections on a Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society pp. 799-811

Vern Farewell, Tony Johnson and Rosemary Gear

Correspondence pp. 813-814

Matthew Powell, Paul Allin and Joe Grice

Methods for Estimation and Inference in Modern Econometrics pp. 822-822

Shalabh

Spectral Analysis of Large Dimensional Random Matrices, 2nd edn pp. 822-823

Cedric E. Ginestet

The Methodology and Practice of Econometrics: a Festschrift in Honour of David F. Hendry pp. 823-824

Kuldeep Kumar

Introductory Time Series with R pp. 824-824

Andrey Kostenko

The Oxford Handbook of Nonlinear Filtering pp. 824-825

Jordan Stoyanov

Approaching Multivariate Analysis, a Practical Introduction, 2nd edn pp. 825-825

Jonathan Gillard

Multivariable Modeling and Multivariate Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences pp. 825-826

Chuck Chakrapani

SAS and R: Data Management, Statistical Analysis, and Graphics pp. 826-827

Frances Denny

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R pp. 827-828

S. E. Lazic and F. Hoffmann-La Roche

Design of Experiments: an Introduction based on Linear Models pp. 827-827

Shalabh

A Beginner's Guide to Structural Equation Modeling, 3rd edn pp. 828-829

Kuldeep Kumar

Statistical Methods in Environmental Epidemiology pp. 829-830

Tom Fanshawe

Handbook of Parametric and Nonparametric Statistical Procedures, 5th edn pp. 829-829

Mario Cortina-Borja

Volume 175, issue 2, 2012

Editorial: Publishing research—for whose benefit? pp. 311-312

Simon Day

The evolving Society: united we stand pp. 315-335

Valerie Isham

Vignettes and health systems responsiveness in cross‐country comparative analyses pp. 337-369

Nigel Rice, Silvana Robone and Peter C. Smith

Quantifying the weight of evidence from a forensic fingerprint comparison: a new paradigm pp. 371-415

C. Neumann, I. W. Evett and J. Skerrett

Joint modelling of longitudinal outcome and interval‐censored competing risk dropout in a schizophrenia clinical trial pp. 417-433

Ralitza Gueorguieva, Robert Rosenheck and Haiqun Lin

Victorian probability and Lewis Carroll pp. 435-451

Eugene Seneta

Social interaction in patients’ hospital choice: evidence from Italy pp. 453-472

F. Moscone, Elisa Tosetti and Giorgio Vittadini

Gender‐specific differences and the impact of family integration on time trends in age‐stratified Swiss suicide rates pp. 473-490

Andrea Riebler, Leonhard Held, Håvard Rue and Matthias Bopp

Stochastic population forecasts based on conditional expert opinions pp. 491-511

Francesco Billari, R. Graziani and E. Melilli

Analysing intensive longitudinal data after summarization at landmarks: an application to daily pain evaluation in a clinical trial pp. 513-534

P. Bunouf, J.‐M. Grouin, G. Molenberghs and G. Koch

Finding dynamic treatment effects under anticipation: the effects of spanking on behaviour pp. 535-567

Myoung-jae Lee and Fali Huang

Making predictions from complex longitudinal data, with application to planning monitoring intervals in a national screening programme pp. 569-586

M. J. Sweeting and S. G. Thompson

Evaluating continuous training programmes by using the generalized propensity score pp. 587-617

Jochen Kluve, Hilmar Schneider, Arne Uhlendorff and Zhong Zhao

Modelling and predicting temporal frequency of foot‐and‐mouth disease cases in countries with endemic foot‐and‐mouth disease pp. 619-636

Young Ku Choi, Wesley O. Johnson, Geoff Jones, Andres Perez and Mark C. Thurmond

A Bayesian non‐linear model for forecasting insurance loss payments pp. 637-656

Yanwei Zhang, Vanja Dukic and James Guszcza

Volume 175, issue 1, 2012

Statistical methods for healthcare regulation: rating, screening and surveillance pp. 1-47

David Spiegelhalter, Christopher Sherlaw‐Johnson, Martin Bardsley, Ian Blunt, Christopher Wood and Olivia Grigg

Statistical methods for the prospective detection of infectious disease outbreaks: a review pp. 49-82

Steffen Unkel, C. Paddy Farrington, Paul H. Garthwaite, Chris Robertson and Nick Andrews

Institutions, foreign direct investment and growth: a hierarchical Bayesian approach pp. 83-105

Nadine McCloud and Subal Kumbhakar

Spatial variability in relative survival from female breast cancer pp. 107-134

Marc Saez, Maria Antònia Barceló, Carmen Martos, Carme Saurina Canals, Rafael Marcos‐Gragera, Gemma Renart, Ricardo Ocaña‐Riola, Cristina Feja and Tomás Alcalá

Which factors safeguard employment?: an analysis with misclassified German register data pp. 135-151

Laura Wichert and Ralf Wilke

Returns to type or tenure? pp. 153-166

Roland A. Amann and Tobias Klein

Charitable giving for overseas development: UK trends over a quarter century pp. 167-190

Anthony Atkinson, Peter Backus, John Micklewright, Cathy Pharoah and Sylke Schnepf

The sensitivity of respondent‐driven sampling pp. 191-216

Xin Lu, Linus Bengtsson, Tom Britton, Martin Camitz, Beom Jun Kim, Anna Thorson and Fredrik Liljeros

Explaining cross‐country differences in survey contact rates: application of decomposition methods pp. 217-242

Annelies G. Blom

Species non‐exchangeability in probabilistic ecotoxicological risk assessment pp. 243-262

Peter S. Craig, Graeme L. Hickey, Robert Luttik and Andy Hart

Quantile estimates of counterfactual distribution shifts and the effect of minimum wage increases on the wage distribution pp. 263-287

Mark Stewart

The impact of questioning method on measurement error in panel survey measures of benefit receipt: evidence from a validation study pp. 289-308

Peter Lynn, Annette Jäckle, Stephen Jenkins and Emanuela Sala

Obituary: Roger Gray, BSc, FFA(Hon), CStat, FSS pp. 309-310

Iain Currie