Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A

1988 - 2022

Current editor(s): A. Chevalier and L. Sharples

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Volume 182, issue 4, 2019

Pigeonholes and mustard seeds: growing capacity to use data for society pp. 1121-1137

Deborah Ashby

Preface to the papers on ‘Credit risk modelling’ pp. 1139-1142

Jonathan Crook, Tony Bellotti, Christophe Mues and Ana-Maria Fuertes

Prediction of default probability by using statistical models for rare events pp. 1143-1162

Emmanuel O. Ogundimu

A joint scoring model for peer‐to‐peer and traditional lending: a bivariate model with copula dependence pp. 1163-1188

Raffaella Calabrese, Silvia Angela Osmetti and Luca Zanin

Non‐parametric predictive inference for the validation of credit rating systems pp. 1189-1204

T. Coolen‐Maturi and F. P. A. Coolen

The effect of interfirm financial transactions on the credit risk of small and medium‐sized enterprises pp. 1205-1226

Veronica Vinciotti, Elisa Tosetti, Francesco Moscone and Mark Lycett

Retail credit scoring using fine‐grained payment data pp. 1227-1246

Ellen Tobback and David Martens

Modelling the loss given default distribution via a family of zero‐and‐one inflated mixture models pp. 1247-1266

Salvatore D. Tomarchio and Antonio Punzo

Exposure at default without conversion factors—evidence from Global Credit Data for large corporate revolving facilities pp. 1267-1286

Mark Thackham and Jun Ma

The law of equal opportunities or unintended consequences?: The effect of unisex risk assessment in consumer credit pp. 1287-1311

Galina Andreeva and Anna Matuszyk

Semiparametric mixed effects models for unsupervised classification of Italian schools pp. 1313-1342

Chiara Masci, Anna Maria Paganoni and Francesca Ieva

Multisite causal mediation analysis in the presence of complex sample and survey designs and non‐random non‐response pp. 1343-1370

Xu Qin, Guanglei Hong, Jonah Deutsch and Edward Bein

An embedded experiment for targeted non‐response follow‐up in establishment surveys pp. 1371-1391

Stephen J. Kaputa, Katherine Jenny Thompson and Jennifer L. Beck

The analysis and forecasting of tennis matches by using a high dimensional dynamic model pp. 1393-1409

P. Gorgi, Siem Jan Koopman and R. Lit

What did you really earn last year?: explaining measurement error in survey income data pp. 1411-1437

Stefan Angel, Franziska Disslbacher, Stefan Humer and Matthias Schnetzer

A unit level small area model with misclassified covariates pp. 1439-1462

Serena Arima and Silvia Polettini

Estimating the number of serious road injuries per vehicle type in the Netherlands by using multiple imputation of latent classes pp. 1463-1486

Laura Boeschoten, Ton de Waal and Jeroen K. Vermunt

On the estimation of population size from a dependent triple‐record system pp. 1487-1501

Kiranmoy Chatterjee and Prajamitra Bhuyan

Flexible (panel) regression models for bivariate count–continuous data with an insurance application pp. 1503-1521

Yang Lu

A Bayesian approach to developing a stochastic mortality model for China pp. 1523-1560

Johnny Siu‐Hang Li, Kenneth Q. Zhou, Xiaobai Zhu, Wai‐Sum Chan and Felix Wai‐Hon Chan

Practical causal analysis for the treatment timing effect on doubly censored duration: effect of fertility on work span pp. 1561-1585

Nikolay Angelov, Per Johansson and Myoung-jae Lee

Creating a linked consumer register for granular demographic analysis pp. 1587-1605

Guy Lansley, Wen Li and Paul A. Longley

A latent class growth model for migrants’ remittances: an application to the German Socio‐Economic Panel pp. 1607-1632

Silvia Bacci, Francesco Bartolucci, Giulia Bettin and Claudia Pigini

Edward Hugh Simpson, 1922–2019 pp. 1633-1634

Ralph Erskine

Michael Arthur Stephens, 1927–2019 pp. 1634-1636

Richard Lockhart

Graham Dunn, 1949–2019 pp. 1636-1637

Andrew Pickles

Richard James Boys, 1960–2019 pp. 1637-1639

Robin Henderson, John Matthews and Darren Wilkinson

John Clifford Gower, 1930–2019 pp. 1639-1641

Gavin Ross

Jeffrey Thomas Wood, 1942–2019 pp. 1641-1642

Warren Müller and Mark Westcott

Likelihood Methods in Biology and Ecology: a Modern Approach to Statistics pp. 1644-1645

Stanley Lazic

Bayesian Data Analysis for Animal Scientists: the Basics pp. 1644-1644

Kevin McConway

War Stories from the Drug Survey (How Culture, Politics, and Statistics Shaped the National Survey on Drug Use and Health) pp. 1645-1646

Sheila Bird

Handbook of Big Data Analytics pp. 1646-1647

Shalabh

Modern Statistics for Modern Biology pp. 1647-1647

R. Allan Reese

The Politics of Big Data: Big Data, Big Brother? pp. 1648-1648

Tom King

Reliability and Availability Engineering: Modeling, Analysis, and Applications pp. 1648-1649

Ilias Iliadis

Volume 182, issue 3, 2019

A comparison of sample survey measures of earnings of English graduates with administrative data pp. 719-754

Jack Britton, Neil Shephard and Anna Vignoles

A comprehensive approach to problems of performance measurement pp. 755-803

N. I. Fisher

A Bayesian semiparametric approach for trend–seasonal interaction: an application to migration forecasts pp. 805-830

Alice Milivinti and Giacomo Benini

Spillovers from US monetary policy: evidence from a time varying parameter global vector auto‐regressive model pp. 831-861

Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Gernot Doppelhofer, Martin Feldkircher and Florian Huber

A scenario analysis of future Hong Kong age and labour force profiles and its implications pp. 863-886

Chris J. Lloyd, Raymond Kwok and Paul S. F. Yip

Multivariate stochastic volatility with large and moderate shocks pp. 887-917

Marwan Izzeldin, Mike Tsionas and Panayotis Michaelides

A semiparametric spatiotemporal Hawkes‐type point process model with periodic background for crime data pp. 919-942

Jiancang Zhuang and Jorge Mateu

On probability distributions of the operational law of container liner ships pp. 943-961

Yunting Song and Nuo Wang

Adaptive design in surveys and clinical trials: similarities, differences and opportunities for cross‐fertilization pp. 963-982

Michael Rosenblum, Peter Miller, Benjamin Reist, Elizabeth A. Stuart, Michael Thieme and Thomas A. Louis

Bayesian modelling for binary outcomes in the regression discontinuity design pp. 983-1002

Sara Geneletti, Federico Ricciardi, Aidan G. O’Keeffe and Gianluca Baio

Spatiotemporal auto‐regressive model for origin–destination air passenger flows pp. 1003-1016

Keunseo Kim, Vinnam Kim and Heeyoung Kim

Classifying industries into types of relative concentration pp. 1017-1037

Ludwig von Auer, Andranik Stepanyan and Mark Trede

Pollution state modelling for Mexico City pp. 1039-1060

Philip A. White, Alan E. Gelfand, Eliane R. Rodrigues and Guadalupe Tzintzun

Estimating the changing nature of Scotland's health inequalities by using a multivariate spatiotemporal model pp. 1061-1080

Eilidh Jack, Duncan Lee and Nema Dean

Confidence in risk assessments pp. 1081-1095

Jonathan Rougier

Multistate Models for the Analysis of Life History Data pp. 1108-1109

Morteza Aalabaf‐Sabaghi

Ethical Reasoning in Big Data: an Exploratory Analysis pp. 1108-1108

Thomas King

Data Visualization pp. 1109-1110

Allan Reese

Applied Probability: from Random Sequences to Stochastic Processes pp. 1109-1109

John Haigh

Handbook of Item Response Theory, vols 1–3 pp. 1110-1113

Dougal Hutchison

The Ethics of Biomedical Big Data pp. 1113-1114

Thomas King

Statistical Process Control pp. 1114-1115

Martin G. Gibson

Bayesian Regression Modeling with INLA pp. 1115-1115

Stanley Lazic

Volume 182, issue 2, 2019

Visualizing spatiotemporal models with virtual reality: from fully immersive environments to applications in stereoscopic view pp. 379-387

Stefano Castruccio, Marc G. Genton and Ying Sun

Visualization in Bayesian workflow pp. 389-402

Jonah Gabry, Daniel Simpson, Aki Vehtari, Michael Betancourt and Andrew Gelman

Graphics for uncertainty pp. 403-418

Adrian W. Bowman

The predictive power of subjective probabilities: probabilistic and deterministic polling in the Dutch 2017 election pp. 443-466

Jochem de Bresser and Arthur van Soest

Polling bias and undecided voter allocations: US presidential elections, 2004–2016 pp. 467-493

Joshua J. Bon, Timothy Ballard and Bernard Baffour

A dynamic inhomogeneous latent state model for measuring material deprivation pp. 495-516

Francesco Dotto, Alessio Farcomeni, Maria Grazia Pittau and Roberto Zelli

Embedding as a pitfall for survey‐based welfare indicators: evidence from an experiment pp. 517-539

Clemens Hetschko, Louisa von Reumont and Ronnie Schöb

Modelling preference data with the Wallenius distribution pp. 541-558

Clara Grazian, Fabrizio Leisen and Brunero Liseo

Brexit and foreign investment in the UK pp. 559-582

Nigel Driffield and Michail Karoglou

Political rhetoric through the lens of non‐parametric statistics: are our legislators that different? pp. 583-604

Iliyan R. Iliev, Xin Huang and Yulia R. Gel

Worker absenteeism: peer influences, monitoring and job flexibility pp. 605-621

Per Johansson, Arizo Karimi and J. Peter Nilsson

Information‐anchored sensitivity analysis: theory and application pp. 623-645

Suzie Cro, James R. Carpenter and Michael G. Kenward

Multiperil rate making for property insurance using longitudinal data pp. 647-668

Lu Yang and Peng Shi

Experimental evaluation of mail questionnaires in a probability sample on victimization pp. 669-687

J. Michael Brick and Sharon Lohr

Bayesian forecasting of mortality rates by using latent Gaussian models pp. 689-711

Angelos Alexopoulos, Petros Dellaportas and Jonathan J. Forster

Large Covariance and Autocovariance Matrices; Patterned Random Matrices pp. 714-714

Jonathan Gillard

Bulk Collection: Systematic Government Access to Private‐sector Data pp. 714-715

Tom King

A Practical Guide to Age–Period–Cohort Analysis: the Identification Problem and Beyond pp. 715-716

Morteza Aalabaf‐Sabaghi

Linear Models and the Relevant Distributions and Matrix Algebra pp. 716-716

Anoop Chaturvedi

Volume 182, issue 1, 2019

The contributions of paradata and features of respondents, interviewers and survey agencies to panel co‐operation in the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe pp. 3-35

Johanna Bristle, Martina Celidoni, Chiara Dal Bianco and Guglielmo Weber

The long‐run effect of childhood poverty and the mediating role of education pp. 37-68

Luna Bellani and Michela Bia

Forecasting gross domestic product growth with large unbalanced data sets: the mixed frequency three‐pass regression filter pp. 69-99

Christian Hepenstrick and Massimiliano Marcellino

A latent variable modelling approach for the pooled analysis of individual participant data on the association between depression and chlamydia infection in adolescence and young adulthood in the UK pp. 101-130

Artemis Koukounari, Andrew J. Copas and Andrew Pickles

Evaluating the use of realtime data in forecasting output levels and recessionary events in the USA pp. 131-163

Chrystalleni Aristidou, Kevin Lee and Kalvinder Shields

A Bayesian time varying approach to risk neutral density estimation pp. 165-195

Roberto Casarin, German Molina and Enrique ter Horst

Ask your doctor whether this product is right for you: a Bayesian joint model for patient drug requests and physician prescriptions pp. 197-223

Bhuvanesh Pareek, Qiang Liu and Pulak Ghosh

Bayesian semiparametric modelling of contraceptive behaviour in India via sequential logistic regressions pp. 225-247

Tommaso Rigon, Daniele Durante and Nicola Torelli

Visualizing rate of change: an application to age‐specific fertility rates pp. 249-262

Han Lin Shang

Participating in a panel survey changes respondents’ labour market behaviour pp. 263-281

Ruben Bach and Stephanie Eckman

Model‐based county level crop estimates incorporating auxiliary sources of information pp. 283-303

Andreea L. Erciulescu, Nathan B. Cruze and Balgobin Nandram

Misspecification of multimodal random‐effect distributions in logistic mixed models for panel survey data pp. 305-321

Louise Marquart and Michele Haynes

A Bayesian approach to modelling subnational spatial dynamics of worldwide non‐state terrorism, 2010–2016 pp. 323-344

André Python, Janine B. Illian, Charlotte M. Jones‐Todd and Marta Blangiardo

Early illicit drug use and the age of onset of homelessness pp. 345-372

Duncan McVicar, Julie Moschion and Jan van Ours