School Performance and Staying On: A Micro Analysis for Northern Ireland

David M. Armstrong

Manchester School, 1999, vol. 67, issue 2, 203-230

Abstract: Microeconomic survey data are used to investigate the impact of a number of measures of school performance on the chances of young people staying on in full‐time education. Multinomial logit models are estimated for the main destinations of young people in Northern Ireland at age 16, namely school, further education, employment, vocational training and unemployment. The analysis is based on a sample which was stratified according to the choices made by young people. Since this stratification is endogenous, ‘choice‐based’ models are estimated to account for this. Some evidence is found of a statistically significant ceteris paribus relationship between school performance and staying on. This is interpreted in terms of aspects of school culture which are captured in the school performance indicators.

Date: 1999
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