Breaks in the UK Household Sector Money Demand Function
Rakesh Bissoondeeal,
Michail Karoglou and
Andy Mullineux
Manchester School, 2014, vol. 82, 47-68
Abstract:
type="main">
We use non-parametric procedures to identify breaks in the underlying series of UK household sector money demand functions. Money demand functions are estimated using cointegration techniques and by employing both the S imple S um and D ivisia measures of money. P-star models are also estimated for out-of-sample inflation forecasting. Our findings suggest that the presence of breaks affects both the estimation of cointegrated money demand functions and the inflation forecasts. P-star forecast models based on D ivisia measures appear more accurate at longer horizons and the majority of models with fundamentals perform better than a random walk model.
Date: 2014
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