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Trade Instability and Distance between Trading Countries

James K Binkley

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1987, vol. 49, issue 4, 401-15

Abstract: Using a simple model, the hypothesis that trade instability is positively rel ated to distance between countries is developed. It is tested with se veral regressions using U.S. export and import data. The hypothesis i s strongly borne out by the export data, with that for imports being less conclusive, although it too is generally supportive. The analysi s includes other factors affecting instability. In some cases, result s for these are found to depend on the model used. This illustrates a possible problem with reliance on a single specification in analyses of trade instability. Copyright 1987 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd

Date: 1987
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