Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

1969 - 2026

Current editor(s): Christopher Adam, Anindya Banerjee, Christopher Bowdler, David Hendry, Adriaan Kalwij, John Knight and Jonathan Temple

From Department of Economics, University of Oxford
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Volume 88, month 08, 2026

Editorial Introduction to the 40th Anniversary Special Issue pp. 569-572

Anindya Banerjee, Sophocles Mavroeidis and Robert Taylor

Unit Roots and Cointegration: A Panel Discussion With David Hendry, Peter Phillips, Katarina Juselius, and Søren Johansen pp. 573-586

Neil R. Ericsson and Andrew B. Martinez

The Mathematical History Behind the Granger–Johansen Representation Theorem pp. 587-602

Johannes M. Schumacher

The Natural Components of a Regular Linear System pp. 603-622

Brendan K. Beare and Phil Howlett

Semiparametric Cointegrating Rank Selection for Curved Cross‐Section Time Series pp. 623-642

Peter C. B. Phillips

Inference on the Attractor Space via Functional Approximation pp. 643-657

Massimo Franchi and Paolo Paruolo

Inference on Common Trends in a Cointegrated Nonlinear SVAR pp. 658-676

James A. Duffy and Xiyu Jiao

Large‐Dimensional Cointegrated Threshold Factor Models: The Global Term Structure of Interest Rates pp. 677-689

Daniel Abreu and Paulo M. M. Rodrigues

Least Trimmed Squares: Cointegration and Outliers pp. 690-711

Vanessa Berenguer‐Rico and Bent Nielsen

Cointegration in a MIDAS Regression pp. 712-725

H. Peter Boswijk and Philip Hans Franses

Detecting Sparse Cointegration pp. 726-741

Jesus Gonzalo and Jean‐Yves Pitarakis

Confidence Intervals for Price Discovery pp. 742-764

Heino Bohn Nielsen, Paolo Paruolo and Anders Rahbek

Cointegration in Panel, Spatial and Spatio‐Temporal Models: Some Recent Advances and Applications pp. 765-782

Dag Tjøstheim

Forecasting Climate Change Using a Multivariate Cointegrated System pp. 783-802

Jennifer Castle, Jurgen A. Doornik, David Hendry and Luke P. Jackson

Inflation Control in a CVAR Model With an Application to the Burns/Miller Period in the USA pp. 803-813

Søren Johansen and Katarina Juselius

Towards Empirical Assessments of Controlled Cointegrated Models pp. 814-833

Guillaume Chevillon and Takamitsu Kurita

Heteroskedastic Structural Vector Autoregressions Identified via Long‐Run Restrictions pp. 834-846

Martin Bruns and Helmut Lütkepohl

Insights From Cointegration: Gender and Age Disparities in the US Labor Market pp. 847-870

Victoria Tribone, Andrew B. Martinez and Neil R. Ericsson

Forty Years of Empirical Evidence of Cointegration and Nonlinear Equilibrium Correction in UK Money Demand Since the XIXth Century pp. 871-889

Álvaro Escribano, Juan‐Andrés Rodríguez and Miguel A. Arranz

Volume 88, month 06, 2026

Should We Fight Poverty or Reduce Its Harm? How the Language of Moral Foundations Theory Affects Donations to Poverty‐Relief Charities pp. 397-407

R. Andrew Luccasen and M. Kathleen Thomas

Why Has in‐Work Poverty Risen in Britain? pp. 408-425

Jonathan Cribb, Tom Waters and Xiaowei Xu

Crime Prevention Through Private Actors: Evidence From a Policy Change at a Large UK Supermarket Chain pp. 426-440

Nils Braakmann and Wednesday Croft

Public Education Funding Cuts and Enrollment Shift to Private Schools: Evidence From the Great Recession pp. 441-457

Jiwon Park

The Economic Effects of ‘Excessive’ Financial Deepening pp. 458-472

Rachel Cho, Rodolphe Desbordes and Markus Eberhardt

Fully Modified GLS Estimation for Seemingly Unrelated Cointegrating Polynomial Regressions pp. 473-483

Yicong Lin and Hanno Reuvers

On the (Mis) Use of the Fixed Effects Estimator pp. 484-505

Daniel L. Millimet and Marc Bellemare

On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning With Panel Data pp. 506-518

Augusto Cerqua, Marco Letta and Gabriele Pinto

Bayesian Inference for Joint Estimation Models Using Copulas to Handle Endogenous Regressors pp. 519-534

Rouven E. Haschka

Estimation and Testing in a Fixed Effects Panel Data Model With Serially Correlated Error Component Disturbances pp. 535-544

Badi Baltagi and Long Liu

On Robustness to Random Breaks in Panel Data pp. 545-552

Yousef Kaddoura and Joakim Westerlund

Estimating Correlations Between Clinical Trial Outcomes Using Generalised Estimating Equations pp. 553-567

Yuehao Dai, Andrew W. Lo, Manish Singh, Qingyang Xu and Ruixun Zhang

Volume 88, month 04, 2026

The Unexpected Side Effects of Lockdowns on Those Barely Inside and Outside of Lockdown Areas pp. 173-197

Izumi Yokoyama, Reo Takaku, Kaichi Kusada, Takahiro Tabuchi and Takeo Fujiwara

All at Sea? Externalities and Cargo Diversion in the Wake of Brexit pp. 198-212

Ciarán Mac Domhnaill

Measuring Growth Spillovers pp. 213-225

F. Blasques, P. Gorgi, Siem Jan Koopman and James Sampi

The Consequences of Political Hierarchy: Evidence From Chinese SOEs pp. 226-257

Pu Chen and Chunyang Wang

Intangibles and Industry Concentration: A Cross‐Country Analysis pp. 258-274

Matěj Bajgar, Chiara Criscuolo and Jonathan Timmis

Regional Productivity Differences in the UK and France: From the Micro to the Macro pp. 275-290

Bridget Kauma and Giordano Mion

Industrial Relations, Collective Bargaining Agreements, Labour Demand Composition and Local Labour Market Concentration pp. 291-330

Simone Chinetti

Do Teachers' Labour Contracts Matter? pp. 331-342

Ainoa Aparicio Fenoll and Roberto Quaranta

Robot Adoption and Occupational Health pp. 343-353

Mattia Filomena and Francesco Principe

High‐Dimensional Oaxaca–Blinder Decomposition With an Application to Gender and Hukou Discrimination in the Chinese Labour Market pp. 354-366

Jun Cai, Jian Zhang and Yahong Zhou

Structural Representations and Identification of Marginal Policy Effects pp. 367-374

Zhixin Wang, Yu Zhang and Zhengyu Zhang

The Compatriot Win Effect and Behavioural Biases in Lottery Markets pp. 375-396

David Boto‐García, Álvaro Muñiz‐Fernández and Levi Pérez

Volume 88, month 02, 2026

Looking Back to 1991 Economic Forecasting: Introducing Cointegration pp. 1-21

David Hendry

Estimating Aggregate Relationships in Panel Data via the LASSO pp. 22-35

Joakim Westerlund and Luca Margaritella

Higher Moments and Efficiency Gains in Recursive Structural Vector Autoregressions pp. 36-44

Sascha A. Keweloh and Shu Wang

Endogeneity Corrections in Binary Outcome Models With Nonlinear Transformations: Identification and Inference pp. 45-56

Alexander Mayer and Dominik Wied

Federal Reserve Chairs and Monetary Regimes pp. 57-74

Yunus Aksoy, Rubens Morita and Zacharias Psaradakis

The Spatial Transmission of U.S. Banking Panics: Evidence From 1870 to 1929 pp. 75-88

Marc Dordal i Carreras and Seung Joo Lee

The Shape of the Business Cycle: The View From U.S. States pp. 89-112

Travis J. Berge and Damjan Pfajfar

Vog: Using Volcanic Eruptions to Estimate the Impact of Air Pollution on Student Test Scores pp. 113-140

Rachel Inafuku, Timothy Halliday, Lester Lusher and Aureo de Paula

Macroeconomic Spillovers of Weather Shocks Across U.S. States pp. 141-156

Emanuele Bacchiocchi, Andrea Bastianin and Graziano Moramarco

Deflationary Financial Shocks and Inflationary Uncertainty Shocks: An SVAR Investigation pp. 157-171

Roberto A. De Santis and Wouter Van der Veken