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Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

1969 - 2024

Current editor(s): Christopher Adam, Anindya Banerjee, Christopher Bowdler, David Hendry, Adriaan Kalwij, John Knight and Jonathan Temple

From Department of Economics, University of Oxford
Contact information at EDIRC.

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Volume 86, month 10, 2024

Fence off Black Swans: The Economics of Insurance for Vaccine Injury pp. 995-1025 Downloads
Ze Chen, Bingzheng Chen and Yu Mao
A Green Wave in Media: A Change of Tack in Stock Markets pp. 1026-1057 Downloads
Marie Bessec and Julien Fouquau
Brexit: Trade Diversion due to Trade Policy Uncertainty pp. 1058-1088 Downloads
Eduardo Gutiérrez, Aitor Lacuesta and César Martín‐Machuca
What Drives House Prices in Europe? pp. 1089-1121 Downloads
Federica Ciocchetta, Elisa Guglielminetti and Alessandro Mistretta
Effects of Grandmothers' Proximity on Mothers' Labour Force Participation* pp. 1122-1162 Downloads
Pelin Akyol and Zeynep Yılmaz
Does Self‐employment Pay? The Role of Unemployment and Earnings Risk pp. 1163-1197 Downloads
Joaquín García‐Cabo and Rocio Madera
Occupational Mobility of Routine Workers pp. 1198-1229 Downloads
Terhi Maczulskij
Public Healthcare Financing during Counterinsurgency Efforts: Evidence from Colombia pp. 1230-1259 Downloads
Samuel Lordemus, Noemi Kreif and Rodrigo Moreno‐Serra
Multivariate Trend‐Cycle‐Seasonal Decompositions with Correlated Innovations pp. 1260-1289 Downloads
Jing Tian, Jan Jacobs and Denise R. Osborn
Averaging Estimation for Instrumental Variables Quantile Regression pp. 1290-1312 Downloads
Xin Liu

Volume 86, month 08, 2024

What a Puzzle! Unravelling Why UK Phillips Curves were Unstable pp. 743-760 Downloads
Jennifer Castle and David Hendry
Revisiting the Phillips Curve: The Empirical Relationship Yet to be Validated pp. 761-793 Downloads
Hoang‐Phuong Do and Aris Spanos
A Factor‐Augmented New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the European Union Countries pp. 794-810 Downloads
Milda Norkute and Joakim Westerlund
Forecasting Inflation with the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: Frequencies Matter pp. 811-832 Downloads
Manuel Martins and Fabio Verona
A New Approach to Forecasting the Probability of Recessions after the COVID‐19 Pandemic pp. 833-855 Downloads
Maximo Camacho, Salvador Ramallo and Manuel Ruiz
Should the Fiscal Authority Avoid Implementation Lag? pp. 856-870 Downloads
Masataka Eguchi, Hidekazu Niwa and Takayuki Tsuruga
Inequality in an Equal Society pp. 871-904 Downloads
Laura Harvey, Jochen O. Mierau and James Rockey
A Semi‐parametric Panel Data Model with Common Factors and Spatial Dependence pp. 905-927 Downloads
Alexandra Soberon, Antonio Musolesi and Juan M. Rodriguez‐Poo
A Spatial Sample Selection Model pp. 928-950 Downloads
Yong Bao, Gucheng Li and Xiaotian Liu
The Paper of How: Estimating Treatment Effects Using the Front‐Door Criterion pp. 951-993 Downloads
Marc Bellemare, Jeffrey R. Bloem and Noah Wexler

Volume 86, month 06, 2024

Opium Price Shocks and Prescription Opioids in the USA* pp. 449-484 Downloads
Claudio Deiana, Ludovica Giua and Roberto Nisticò
Does Stress Shorten Your Life? Evidence from Parental Bereavement pp. 485-518 Downloads
Bernhard Schmidpeter
Interpretable Machine Learning Using Partial Linear Models pp. 519-540 Downloads
Emmanuel Flachaire, Sullivan Hué, Sébastien Laurent and Gilles Hacheme
Do Financial Markets Respond to Populist Rhetoric? pp. 541-567 Downloads
Cem Çakmakli, Selva Demi̇ralp and Gökhan Şahi̇n Güneş
Firm‐specific Human Capital Accumulation: Evidence from Brazil pp. 568-605 Downloads
Tiago Pires, Arek Szydłowski and Shuai Zhao
Impact of Graduating with Honours on Entry Wages of Economics Majors pp. 606-640 Downloads
Salim Atay, Gunes Asik and Semih Tumen
A Non‐parametric Estimation of Productivity with Idiosyncratic and Aggregate Shocks: The Role of Research and Development (R&D) and Corporate Tax pp. 641-671 Downloads
Ioannis Bournakis and Mike Tsionas
Global Financial Risk, Equity Returns and Economic Activity in Emerging Countries pp. 672-689 Downloads
Jaroslav Horvath and Guanyi Yang
Value‐at‐Risk under Measurement Error pp. 690-713 Downloads
Mohamed Doukali, Xiaojun Song and Abderrahim Taamouti
Solving the Forecast Combination Puzzle Using Double Shrinkages pp. 714-741 Downloads
Li Liu, Xianfeng Hao and Yudong Wang

Volume 86, month 04, 2024

Drought‐Reliefs and Partisanship pp. 187-208 Downloads
Federico Boffa, Francisco Cavalcanti, Christian Fons‐Rosen and Amedeo Piolatto
The Effect of Immigration on Occupational Injuries: Evidence from Administrative Data pp. 209-235 Downloads
Caterina Alacevich and Catia Nicodemo
The impact of import competition from China on firm‐level productivity growth in the European Union pp. 236-256 Downloads
Klaus Friesenbichler, Agnes Kügler and Andreas Reinstaller
Peer Migration in China pp. 257-313 Downloads
Yuyu Chen, Ginger Zhe Jin and Yang Yue
Global Demand and Supply Sentiment: Evidence From Earnings Calls pp. 314-334 Downloads
Franz Ruch and Temel Taskin
The Macroprudential Toolkit: Effectiveness and Interactions pp. 335-384 Downloads
Stephen Millard, Margarita Rubio and Alexandra Varadi
Looking Beyond the Trap: Fiscal Legacy and Central Bank Independence pp. 385-416 Downloads
Charles de Beauffort
Why Transform Y? The Pitfalls of Transformed Regressions with a Mass at Zero pp. 417-447 Downloads
John Mullahy and Edward Norton

Volume 86, month 02, 2024

A Brief History of General‐to‐specific Modelling pp. 1-20 Downloads
David Hendry
Smooth and Abrupt Dynamics in Financial Volatility: The MS‐MEM‐MIDAS pp. 21-43 Downloads
Luca Scaffidi Domianello, Giampiero Gallo and Edoardo Otranto
Non‐parametric Estimator for Conditional Mode with Parametric Features pp. 44-73 Downloads
Tao Wang
Partial Identification of Marginal Treatment Effects with Discrete Instruments and Misreported Treatment* pp. 74-100 Downloads
Santiago Acerenza
Are Economics Conferences Gender‐Neutral? Evidence from Ireland pp. 101-118 Downloads
Margaret Samahita and Kevin Devereux
Sequencing the COVID‐19 Recession in the USA: What Were the Macroeconomic Drivers? pp. 119-136 Downloads
Max Breitenlechner, Martin Geiger, Daniel Gründler and Johann Scharler
Identifying Politically Connected Firms: A Machine Learning Approach pp. 137-155 Downloads
Vítězslav Titl, Deni Mazrekaj and Fritz Schiltz
Foetal Exposure to Air Pollution and Students' Cognitive Performance: Evidence from Agricultural Fires in Brazil pp. 156-186 Downloads
Juliana Carneiro, Matthew Cole and Eric Strobl

Volume 85, month 12, 2023

Furlough and Household Financial Distress during the COVID‐19 Pandemic pp. 1157-1184 Downloads
Christoph Görtz, Danny McGowan and Mallory Yeromonahos
Job Polarization and the Declining Wages of Young Female Workers in the United Kingdom pp. 1185-1210 Downloads
Era Dabla‐Norris, Carlo Pizzinelli and Jay Rappaport
Job Protection and Mortgage Conditions: Evidence from Italian Administrative Data pp. 1211-1237 Downloads
Paolo Emilio Mistrulli, Tommaso Oliviero, Zeno Rotondi and Alberto Zazzaro
Physician Connectedness and Referral Choice pp. 1238-1261 Downloads
Eunhae Shin
Medium‐Run Impacts of Iron‐Fortified School Lunch on Anaemia, Cognition, and Learning Outcomes in India pp. 1262-1294 Downloads
Liza von Grafenstein, Abhijeet Kumar, Santosh Kumar and Sebastian Vollmer
Early Years Multi‐grade Classes and Pupil Attainment pp. 1295-1319 Downloads
Daniel Borbely, Markus Gehrsitz, Stuart McIntyre, Gennaro Rossi and Graeme Roy
Projection Estimators for Structural Impulse Responses pp. 1320-1340 Downloads
Jörg Breitung and Ralf Brüggemann
Information Equivalence among Transformations of Semi‐parametric Nonlinear Panel Data Models pp. 1341-1361 Downloads
Nicholas Brown

Volume 85, month 10, 2023

How Do People Respond When They Know That Robots Will Take Their Jobs? pp. 939-958 Downloads
Christian Gunadi and Hanbyul Ryu
Using Machine Learning to Create an Early Warning System for Welfare Recipients pp. 959-992 Downloads
Dario Sansone and Anna Zhu
The UK's Great Demand and Supply Recession* pp. 993-1022 Downloads
Nick Jacob and Giordano Mion
Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis pp. 1023-1047 Downloads
Alexander Chudik, Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith
A Mixed Frequency BVAR for the Euro Area Labour Market pp. 1048-1082 Downloads
Agostino Consolo, Claudia Foroni and Catalina Martínez Hernández
Testing R&D‐Based Endogenous Growth Models pp. 1083-1110 Downloads
Peter K. Kruse‐Andersen
Cross‐sectional Gravity Models, PPML Estimation, and the Bias Correction of the Two‐Way Cluster‐Robust Standard Errors pp. 1111-1134 Downloads
Michael Pfaffermayr
Heteroskedasticity‐Robust Standard Errors for Dynamic Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects pp. 1135-1155 Downloads
Chirok Han and Hyoungjong Kim

Volume 85, month 08, 2023

Are Girls' and Boys' Cognitive Test Performance in Adolescence Differently Affected by Deprivation at Earlier Ages? pp. 671-691 Downloads
Le Thuc Duc and Jere Behrman
Early Life Exposure to Above Average Rainfall and Adult Mental Health pp. 692-717 Downloads
Mochamad Pasha, Marc Rockmore, Chih Ming Tan and Dhanushka Thamarapani
Parents' Separation: What is the Effect on Parents' and Children's Time Investments? pp. 718-754 Downloads
Hélène Le Forner
Haste Makes No Waste: Positive Peer Effects of Classroom Speed Competition on Learning pp. 755-772 Downloads
Hikaru Kawarazaki, Minhaj Mahmud, Yasuyuki Sawada and Mai Seki
Selective Mortality and the Long‐Term Effects of Early‐Life Exposure to Natural Disasters pp. 773-804 Downloads
Margaret Triyana and Xing Xia
Sectoral Shocks and Monetary Policy in the United Kingdom pp. 805-829 Downloads
Huw Dixon, Jeremy Franklin and Stephen Millard
The Nexus between Public Debt and the Government Spending Multiplier: Fiscal Adjustments Matter pp. 830-858 Downloads
Yasuharu Iwata and Hirokuni Iiboshi
Understanding Monetary Spillovers in Highly Integrated Regions: The Case of Europe pp. 859-893 Downloads
Martin Feldkircher and Helene Schuberth
Asymptotic Behavior of Temporal Aggregation in Mixed‐Frequency Datasets pp. 894-909 Downloads
Cleiton Taufemback
Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation for VAR Models with Explosive Roots pp. 910-937 Downloads
Ye Chen, Jian Li and Qiyuan Li

Volume 85, month 06, 2023

Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty pp. 457-481 Downloads
Ana Beatriz Galvão and James Mitchell
Real‐Time Monitoring of Bubbles and Crashes pp. 482-513 Downloads
Emily Whitehouse, David I. Harvey and Stephen J. Leybourne
Estimation of Panel Data Models with Mixed Sampling Frequencies pp. 514-544 Downloads
Yimin Yang, Fei Jia and Haoran Li
Large Time‐Varying Volatility Models for Hourly Electricity Prices pp. 545-573 Downloads
Angelica Gianfreda, Francesco Ravazzolo and Luca Rossini
Variable Screening and Model Averaging for Expectile Regressions pp. 574-598 Downloads
Yundong Tu and Siwei Wang
Measuring Poverty Dynamics with Synthetic Panels Based on Repeated Cross Sections pp. 599-622 Downloads
Hai-Anh Dang and Peter Lanjouw
Selection Bias in Housing Price Indexes: The Characteristics Repeat Sales Approach* pp. 623-637 Downloads
Daniel Melser
Quantitative Easing and Wealth Inequality: The Asset Price Channel pp. 638-670 Downloads
Clara De Luigi, Martin Feldkircher, Philipp Poyntner and Helene Schuberth

Volume 85, month 04, 2023

The All‐Gap Phillips Curve pp. 269-282 Downloads
James McNeil and Gregor Smith
Complete Theory for CCE Under Heterogeneous Slopes and General Unknown Factors pp. 283-303 Downloads
Ovidijus Stauskas
Estimation of Heterogeneous Agent Models: A Likelihood Approach pp. 304-330 Downloads
Juan Carlos Parra‐Alvarez, Olaf Posch and Mu‐Chun Wang
Productivity and Performance: A GMM approach pp. 331-344 Downloads
Mike G. Tsionas and Subal Kumbhakar
Identification Robust Empirical Evidence on the Open Economy IS‐Curve pp. 345-372 Downloads
Qazi Haque and Leandro Magnusson
Does one size fit all in the non‐profit donation production function? pp. 373-402 Downloads
Teresa Harrison, Daniel Henderson, Deniz Ozabaci and Christopher A. Laincz
Estimating Case‐based Individual and Social Learning in Corporate Tax Avoidance pp. 403-434 Downloads
Minjie Huang, Shunan Zhao and Andreas Pape
Does Competition Increase or Decrease Price Dispersion? Insights from One‐Way vs. Round‐Trip Airfares* pp. 435-455 Downloads
Myongjin Kim, Leilei Shen and Qi Ge

Volume 85, month 02, 2023

Same‐Sex Marriage Legalization and Sexually Transmitted Infections Across Europe* pp. 35-69 Downloads
Dimitrios Nikolaou
Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations pp. 70-94 Downloads
Gabriel Arce‐Alfaro and Boris Blagov
Are Fiscal Multipliers Estimated with Proxy‐SVARs Robust?* pp. 95-122 Downloads
Giovanni Angelini, Giovanni Caggiano, Efrem Castelnuovo and Luca Fanelli
Exploring Okun's law asymmetry: An endogenous threshold logistic smooth transition regression approach pp. 123-158 Downloads
Dimitris Christopoulos, Peter McAdam and Elias Tzavalis
Productivity Slowdown in Japan's Lost Decades: How Much of It Can Be Attributed to Damaged Balance Sheets? pp. 159-207 Downloads
Ichiro Muto, Nao Sudo and Shunichi Yoneyama
Market Volatility, Monetary Policy and the Term Premium pp. 208-237 Downloads
Abhishek Kumar, Sushanta Mallick, Madhusudan Mohanty and Fabrizio Zampolli
Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability, Cyclical Sensitivity and Hysteresis pp. 238-267 Downloads
Francesco Furlanetto, Kåre Hagelund, Frank Hansen and Ørjan Robstad
Page updated 2024-12-07