Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

1969 - 2025

Current editor(s): Christopher Adam, Anindya Banerjee, Christopher Bowdler, David Hendry, Adriaan Kalwij, John Knight and Jonathan Temple

From Department of Economics, University of Oxford
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Volume 81, month 12, 2019

Making Information on CSR Scores Salient: A Randomized Field Experiment pp. 1193-1213

Leonardo Becchetti, Francesco Salustri and Pasquale Scaramozzino

Property Rights Reform to Support China's Rural–Urban Integration: Village‐Level Evidence from the Chengdu Experiment pp. 1214-1251

Klaus Deininger, Songqing Jin, Shouying Liu, Ting Shao and Fang Xia

A Matter of Experience? Understanding the Decline in Group Lending pp. 1252-1279

Christian Ahlin and Matthew Suandi

Dual Credit Markets and Household Usage to Finance: Evidence from a Representative Chinese Household Survey pp. 1280-1317

Robert Cull, Li Gan, Nan Gao and Lixin Xu

Testing the Empirical Relevance of the ‘Saving for a Rainy Day’ Hypothesis in US Metro Areas pp. 1318-1335

Andre Anundsen and Ragnar Nymoen

Detecting Financial Collapse and Ballooning Sovereign Risk pp. 1336-1361

Peter Phillips and Shuping Shi

Inflation Volatility with Regime Switching pp. 1362-1375

Maksim Isakin and Phuong V. Ngo

Unstable Diffusion Indexes: With an Application to Bond Risk Premia pp. 1376-1400

Daniele Massacci

Functional Coefficient Cointegration Models Subject to Time–Varying Volatility with an Application to the Purchasing Power Parity pp. 1401-1423

Yundong Tu and Ying Wang

Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Random Effects Models with Unbalanced Panels pp. 1424-1441

Pedro Albarran, Raquel Carrasco and Jesus Carro

Volume 81, month 10, 2019

Forecasting with High‐Dimensional Panel VARs pp. 937-959

Gary Koop and Dimitris Korobilis

What Determines the Sacrifice Ratio? A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach pp. 960-988

Hajime Katayama, Natalia Ponomareva and Malvin Sharma

Does Repeated Measurement Improve Income Data Quality? pp. 989-1011

Paul Fisher

Is Stock Price Correlated with Oil Price? Spurious Regressions with Moderately Explosive Processes pp. 1012-1044

Ye Chen and Yundong Tu

Markov Switching Oil Price Uncertainty pp. 1045-1064

Apostolos Serletis and Libo Xu

Immigrants’ Wage Growth and Selective Out‐Migration pp. 1065-1094

Govert Bijwaard and Jackline Wahba

Automation and Job Polarization: On the Decline of Middling Occupations in Europe pp. 1095-1116

Vahagn Jerbashian

Semi‐parametric Regression under Model Uncertainty: Economic Applications pp. 1117-1143

Gertraud Malsiner‐Walli, Paul Hofmarcher and Bettina Grün

Political and Institutional Determinants of Credit Booms pp. 1144-1178

Vitor Castro and Rodrigo Martins

The Use of Instrumental Variables in Peer Effects Models pp. 1179-1191

Stephanie von Hinke, George Leckie and Cheti Nicoletti

Volume 81, month 08, 2019

Age of Menarche, Adolescent Sexual Intercourse and Schooling Attainment of Women pp. 717-743

Jian Huang, Wim Groot, John G. Sessions and Yinyen Tseng

Heterogeneous Treatment Under Regression Discontinuity Design: Application to Female High School Enrolment pp. 744-767

Yasin Onder and Mrittika Shamsuddin

Productivity Growth, Human Capital and Technology Spillovers: Nonparametric Evidence for EU Regions pp. 768-779

Harald Badinger, Peter Egger and Maximilian von Ehrlich

An Empirical Investigation on the Transfer of Expatriates Within MNCs from a Knowledge Perspective pp. 780-796

Carmen Astorne‐Figari and Joonhyung Lee

Specification Searching and Significance Inflation Across Time, Methods and Disciplines pp. 797-816

Eva Vivalt

Mind the Output Gap: The Disconnect of Growth and Inflation during Recessions and Convex Phillips Curves in the Euro Area pp. 817-848

Marco Gross and Willi Semmler

What Drives Output Volatility? The Role of Demographics and Government Size Revisited pp. 849-867

Martin Iseringhausen and Hauke Vierke

What Does Trade Openness Measure? pp. 868-888

Eiji Fujii

On the Sources of the Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle across Time and Frequencies pp. 889-910

Jun-Hyung Ko and Yoshito Funashima

A Better Understanding of Granger Causality Analysis: A Big Data Environment pp. 911-936

Xiaojun Song and Abderrahim Taamouti

Volume 81, month 06, 2019

Currency Unions and Trade: A PPML Re‐assessment with High‐dimensional Fixed Effects pp. 487-510

Mario Larch, Joschka Wanner, Yoto Yotov and Thomas Zylkin

Spatial Decentralization and Programme Evaluation: Theory and an Example pp. 511-539

Mark M. Pitt and Nidhiya Menon

Who Creates Stable Jobs? Evidence from Brazil pp. 540-563

Peter Brummund and Laura Connolly

The Gender Wage Gap in Europe: Job Preferences, Gender Convergence and Distributional Effects pp. 564-587

Paul Redmond and Seamus McGuinness

Fiscal Rules and Financial Systems: Complements or Substitutes? pp. 588-616

Juan Gabriel Fernández and Francisco Parro

On the Real Effect of Financial Pressure: Evidence From Firm‐Level Employment During the Euro‐Area Crisis pp. 617-646

Filipa Fernandes, Alexandros Kontonikas and Serafeim Tsoukas

Long‐term Effects of Fiscal Stimulus and Austerity in Europe pp. 647-666

Sebastian Gechert, Gustav Horn and Christoph Paetz

Identification and Estimation Issues in Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models pp. 667-685

Daniel Buncic

Parametric Identification of Multiplicative Exponential Heteroscedasticity pp. 686-696

Alyssa Carlson

Detecting Co‐Movements in Non‐Causal Time Series pp. 697-715

Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq and Sean Telg

Volume 81, month 04, 2019

Sectoral Effects of News Shocks pp. 215-249

Marija Vukotic

Oil Prices and Personal Consumption Expenditures: Does the Source of the Shock Matter? pp. 250-270

Zeina N. Alsalman and Mohamad Karaki

The migration response to local labour market shocks: Evidence from EU regions during the global economic crisis pp. 271-298

Timo Mitze

Earning or Learning? How Extending Closing Time in the Retail Sector Affects Youth Employment and Education pp. 299-327

Simon S. Bensnes and Bjarne Str⊘m

Is Improving Access to University Enough? Socio‐Economic Gaps in the Earnings of English Graduates pp. 328-368

Jack Britton, Lorraine Dearden, Neil Shephard and Anna Vignoles

The Effectiveness of Single‐Sex Schools through Out‐of‐School Activities: Evidence from South Korea pp. 369-393

Youjin Hahn and Liang Wang

The Age Structure of Human Capital and Economic Growth pp. 394-411

Amparo Castelló‐Climent

Inflation Sensitivity To Monetary Policy: What Has Changed since the Early 1980s? pp. 412-436

Roberto Pancrazi and Marija Vukotic

Forecast Evaluation Under Asymmetric Loss: A Monte Carlo Analysis of the EKT Method pp. 437-455

Jens J. Krüger and Julian LeCrone

Beyond Early Warning Indicators: High School Dropout and Machine Learning pp. 456-485

Dario Sansone

Volume 81, month 02, 2019

What if they had not Gone Negative? A Counterfactual Assessment of the Impact from Negative Interest Rates pp. 1-19

Nektarios Michail

Explosive Asset Price Bubble Detection with Unknown Bubble Length and Initial Condition pp. 20-41

Emily Whitehouse

Differences Between Short‐ and Long‐Term Risk Aversion: An Optimal Asset Allocation Perspective pp. 42-61

Jesus Gonzalo and Jose Olmo

Growth Trends and Systematic Patterns of Booms and Busts‐Testing 200 Years of Business Cycle Dynamics pp. 62-78

Marlon Fritz, Thomas Gries and Yuanhua Feng

Olley and Pakes‐style Production Function Estimators with Firm Fixed Effects pp. 79-97

Yoonseok Lee, Andrey Stoyanov and Nick Zubanov

Intermittent Price Changes in Production Plants: Empirical Evidence Using Monthly Data pp. 98-122

Øivind Nilsen and Magne Vange

What Do Wages Add to the Health‐Employment Nexus? Evidence from Older European Workers pp. 123-145

Manuel Flores and Adriaan Kalwij

Local Labour Markets and Theft: New Evidence from Canada pp. 146-177

Fraser Summerfield

Testing Part of a DSGE Model by Indirect Inference pp. 178-194

A. Patrick Minford, Michael Wickens and Yongdeng Xu

Combination of Tests for Cointegration in Cross‐Correlated Panels pp. 195-213

Verena Werkmann