Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

1969 - 2025

Current editor(s): Christopher Adam, Anindya Banerjee, Christopher Bowdler, David Hendry, Adriaan Kalwij, John Knight and Jonathan Temple

From Department of Economics, University of Oxford
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Volume 85, month 12, 2023

Furlough and Household Financial Distress during the COVID‐19 Pandemic pp. 1157-1184

Christoph Görtz, Danny McGowan and Mallory Yeromonahos

Job Polarization and the Declining Wages of Young Female Workers in the United Kingdom pp. 1185-1210

Era Dabla‐Norris, Carlo Pizzinelli and Jay Rappaport

Job Protection and Mortgage Conditions: Evidence from Italian Administrative Data pp. 1211-1237

Paolo Emilio Mistrulli, Tommaso Oliviero, Zeno Rotondi and Alberto Zazzaro

Physician Connectedness and Referral Choice pp. 1238-1261

Eunhae Shin

Medium‐Run Impacts of Iron‐Fortified School Lunch on Anaemia, Cognition, and Learning Outcomes in India pp. 1262-1294

Liza von Grafenstein, Abhijeet Kumar, Santosh Kumar and Sebastian Vollmer

Early Years Multi‐grade Classes and Pupil Attainment pp. 1295-1319

Daniel Borbely, Markus Gehrsitz, Stuart McIntyre, Gennaro Rossi and Graeme Roy

Projection Estimators for Structural Impulse Responses pp. 1320-1340

Jörg Breitung and Ralf Brüggemann

Information Equivalence among Transformations of Semi‐parametric Nonlinear Panel Data Models pp. 1341-1361

Nicholas Brown

Volume 85, month 10, 2023

How Do People Respond When They Know That Robots Will Take Their Jobs? pp. 939-958

Christian Gunadi and Hanbyul Ryu

Using Machine Learning to Create an Early Warning System for Welfare Recipients pp. 959-992

Dario Sansone and Anna Zhu

The UK's Great Demand and Supply Recession* pp. 993-1022

Nick Jacob and Giordano Mion

Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis pp. 1023-1047

Alexander Chudik, Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith

A Mixed Frequency BVAR for the Euro Area Labour Market pp. 1048-1082

Agostino Consolo, Claudia Foroni and Catalina Martínez Hernández

Testing R&D‐Based Endogenous Growth Models pp. 1083-1110

Peter K. Kruse‐Andersen

Cross‐sectional Gravity Models, PPML Estimation, and the Bias Correction of the Two‐Way Cluster‐Robust Standard Errors pp. 1111-1134

Michael Pfaffermayr

Heteroskedasticity‐Robust Standard Errors for Dynamic Panel Data Models with Fixed Effects pp. 1135-1155

Chirok Han and Hyoungjong Kim

Volume 85, month 08, 2023

Are Girls' and Boys' Cognitive Test Performance in Adolescence Differently Affected by Deprivation at Earlier Ages? pp. 671-691

Le Thuc Duc and Jere Behrman

Early Life Exposure to Above Average Rainfall and Adult Mental Health pp. 692-717

Mochamad Pasha, Marc Rockmore, Chih Ming Tan and Dhanushka Thamarapani

Parents' Separation: What is the Effect on Parents' and Children's Time Investments? pp. 718-754

Hélène Le Forner

Haste Makes No Waste: Positive Peer Effects of Classroom Speed Competition on Learning pp. 755-772

Hikaru Kawarazaki, Minhaj Mahmud, Yasuyuki Sawada and Mai Seki

Selective Mortality and the Long‐Term Effects of Early‐Life Exposure to Natural Disasters pp. 773-804

Margaret Triyana and Xing Xia

Sectoral Shocks and Monetary Policy in the United Kingdom pp. 805-829

Huw Dixon, Jeremy Franklin and Stephen Millard

The Nexus between Public Debt and the Government Spending Multiplier: Fiscal Adjustments Matter pp. 830-858

Yasuharu Iwata and Hirokuni Iiboshi

Understanding Monetary Spillovers in Highly Integrated Regions: The Case of Europe pp. 859-893

Martin Feldkircher and Helene Schuberth

Asymptotic Behavior of Temporal Aggregation in Mixed‐Frequency Datasets pp. 894-909

Cleiton Taufemback

Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation for VAR Models with Explosive Roots pp. 910-937

Ye Chen, Jian Li and Qiyuan Li

Volume 85, month 06, 2023

Real‐Time Perceptions of Historical GDP Data Uncertainty pp. 457-481

Ana Beatriz Galvão and James Mitchell

Real‐Time Monitoring of Bubbles and Crashes pp. 482-513

Emily Whitehouse, David I. Harvey and Stephen J. Leybourne

Estimation of Panel Data Models with Mixed Sampling Frequencies pp. 514-544

Yimin Yang, Fei Jia and Haoran Li

Large Time‐Varying Volatility Models for Hourly Electricity Prices pp. 545-573

Angelica Gianfreda, Francesco Ravazzolo and Luca Rossini

Variable Screening and Model Averaging for Expectile Regressions pp. 574-598

Yundong Tu and Siwei Wang

Measuring Poverty Dynamics with Synthetic Panels Based on Repeated Cross Sections pp. 599-622

Hai-Anh Dang and Peter Lanjouw

Selection Bias in Housing Price Indexes: The Characteristics Repeat Sales Approach* pp. 623-637

Daniel Melser

Quantitative Easing and Wealth Inequality: The Asset Price Channel pp. 638-670

Clara De Luigi, Martin Feldkircher, Philipp Poyntner and Helene Schuberth

Volume 85, month 04, 2023

The All‐Gap Phillips Curve pp. 269-282

James McNeil and Gregor Smith

Complete Theory for CCE Under Heterogeneous Slopes and General Unknown Factors pp. 283-303

Ovidijus Stauskas

Estimation of Heterogeneous Agent Models: A Likelihood Approach pp. 304-330

Juan Carlos Parra‐Alvarez, Olaf Posch and Mu‐Chun Wang

Productivity and Performance: A GMM approach pp. 331-344

Mike G. Tsionas and Subal Kumbhakar

Identification Robust Empirical Evidence on the Open Economy IS‐Curve pp. 345-372

Qazi Haque and Leandro Magnusson

Does one size fit all in the non‐profit donation production function? pp. 373-402

Teresa Harrison, Daniel Henderson, Deniz Ozabaci and Christopher A. Laincz

Estimating Case‐based Individual and Social Learning in Corporate Tax Avoidance pp. 403-434

Minjie Huang, Shunan Zhao and Andreas Pape

Does Competition Increase or Decrease Price Dispersion? Insights from One‐Way vs. Round‐Trip Airfares* pp. 435-455

Myongjin Kim, Leilei Shen and Qi Ge

Volume 85, month 02, 2023

Same‐Sex Marriage Legalization and Sexually Transmitted Infections Across Europe* pp. 35-69

Dimitrios Nikolaou

Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations pp. 70-94

Gabriel Arce‐Alfaro and Boris Blagov

Are Fiscal Multipliers Estimated with Proxy‐SVARs Robust?* pp. 95-122

Giovanni Angelini, Giovanni Caggiano, Efrem Castelnuovo and Luca Fanelli

Exploring Okun's law asymmetry: An endogenous threshold logistic smooth transition regression approach pp. 123-158

Dimitris Christopoulos, Peter McAdam and Elias Tzavalis

Productivity Slowdown in Japan's Lost Decades: How Much of It Can Be Attributed to Damaged Balance Sheets? pp. 159-207

Ichiro Muto, Nao Sudo and Shunichi Yoneyama

Market Volatility, Monetary Policy and the Term Premium pp. 208-237

Abhishek Kumar, Sushanta Mallick, Madhusudan Mohanty and Fabrizio Zampolli

Norges Bank Output Gap Estimates: Forecasting Properties, Reliability, Cyclical Sensitivity and Hysteresis pp. 238-267

Francesco Furlanetto, Kåre Hagelund, Frank Hansen and Ørjan Robstad

Volume 84, month 12, 2022

Research Deserts and Oases: Evidence from 27 Thousand Economics Journal Articles on Africa pp. 1235-1258

Obie Porteous

Adoption with Social Learning and Network Externalities* pp. 1259-1282

Marcel Fafchamps, Måns Söderbom and Monique van den Boogart

When Do We See Poverty Convergence?* pp. 1283-1301

Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Stephan Klasen and Konstantin Wacker

Robust Correlates of Growth Spells: Do Inequality and Redistribution Matter? pp. 1302-1328

Andros Kourtellos and Charalambos Tsangarides

Are Women Doing It for Themselves? Female Managers and the Gender Wage Gap pp. 1329-1355

Nikolaos Theodoropoulos, John Forth and Alex Bryson

Centre‐Based Care and Parenting Activities pp. 1356-1379

Jonas Jessen, Christa Katharina Spieß and Sevrin Waights

The Devil is in the Details: Identifying Unbiased Link between Alcohol Purchasing Rights and Youth Delinquency pp. 1380-1431

Kabir Dasgupta, Alexander Plum and Christopher Erwin

Causal inference with some invalid instrumental variables: A quasi‐Bayesian approach pp. 1432-1451

Gyuhyeong Goh and Jisang Yu

Testing the Presence of Outliers in Regression Models pp. 1452-1484

Xiyu Jiao and Felix Pretis

Forecasting Under Structural Breaks Using Improved Weighted Estimation pp. 1485-1501

Tae‐Hwy Lee, Shahnaz Parsaeian and Aman Ullah

Volume 84, month 10, 2022

How did consumers react to the COVID‐19 pandemic over time? pp. 961-993

George Kapetanios, Nora Neuteboom, Feiko Ritsema and Alexia Ventouri

Modelling the Differing Impacts of Covid‐19 in the UK Labour Market pp. 994-1017

Christopher Martin and Magdalyn Okolo

Mental Health and Employment: A Bounding Approach Using Panel Data* pp. 1018-1051

Mark Bryan, Nigel Rice, Jennifer Roberts and Cristina Sechel

Which factors were behind Germany's labour market upswing? A data‐driven approach pp. 1052-1076

Christian Hutter, Francesco Carbonero, Sabine Klinger, Carsten Trenkler and Enzo Weber

Estimating Nonlinear Business Cycle Mechanisms with Linear Vector Autoregressions: A Monte Carlo Study pp. 1077-1100

Karsten Kohler and Robert Calvert Jump

A Guide to Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models for Impulse Response Estimations pp. 1101-1122

ChaeWon Baek and Byoungchan Lee

Dimension Reduction for High‐Dimensional Vector Autoregressive Models pp. 1123-1152

Gianluca Cubadda and Alain Hecq

Testing for Asymmetric Comovements pp. 1153-1180

O‐Chia Chuang, Xiaojun Song and Abderrahim Taamouti

The Role of Global and Domestic Shocks for Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from Asia pp. 1181-1208

David Finck and Peter Tillmann

Growth Prospects and the Trade Balance in Advanced Economies pp. 1209-1234

Ansgar Belke, Steffen Elstner and Svetlana Rujin

Volume 84, month 08, 2022

Untimely Reopening? Increase in the Number of New COVID‐19 Cases After Reopening in One Brazilian State pp. 675-693

Izabela Sobiech Pellegrini

Early Childhood Health During Conflict: The Legacy of the Lord’s Resistance Army in Northern Uganda pp. 694-718

Sarah Bridges and Douglas Scott

Does Aid for Malaria Increase with Exposure to Malaria Risk? Evidence from Mining Sites in the D.R.Congo pp. 719-748

Samuel Lordemus

The Impact of Top Incomes Biases on the Measurement of Inequality in the United States pp. 749-788

Vladimir Hlasny and Paolo Verme

Global Representation of the Conditional LATE Model: A Separability Result pp. 789-798

Yu‐Chang Chen and Haitian Xie

Panel Probit Models with Time‐Varying Individual Effects: Reestimating the Effects of Fertility on Female Labour Participation pp. 799-829

Jie Wei and Yonghui Zhang

Partial Identification and Estimation of Semiparametric Ordered Response Models with Interval Regressor Data pp. 830-849

Xi Wang and Songnian Chen

On the Estimation of True State Dependence in the Persistence of Innovation pp. 850-893

Marta F. Arroyabe and Martin Schumann

Debt Intolerance: Threshold Level and Composition pp. 894-932

Hideaki Matsuoka

The Impacts of Free Universal Elderly Care on the Supply of Informal Care and Labour Supply pp. 933-960

Bruce Hollingsworth, Asako Ohinata, Matteo Picchio and Ian Walker

Volume 84, month 06, 2022

Rare Disasters, the Natural Interest Rate and Monetary Policy pp. 473-496

Alessandro Cantelmo

Monetary Policy and Corporate Debt Structure pp. 497-515

Stéphane Lhuissier and Urszula Szczerbowicz

The Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from the United Kingdom pp. 516-543

Nick Stenner

Euro Area Periphery Countries' Fiscal Policy and Monetary Policy Surprises pp. 544-568

Oliver Hülsewig and Horst Rottmann

Financial Cycles in Euro Area Economies: A Cross‐Country Perspective Using Wavelet Analysis pp. 569-593

Martin Mandler and Michael Scharnagl

Loans to Different Groups and Economic Activity at Times of Crisis and Growth pp. 594-623

Gianluca Cafiso

Testing for Co‐explosive Behaviour in Financial Time Series pp. 624-650

Andria C. Evripidou, David I. Harvey, Stephen J. Leybourne and Robert Sollis

Econometric Analysis of Switching Expectations in UK Inflation pp. 651-673

Adriana Cornea‐Madeira and Joao Madeira

Volume 84, month 04, 2022

Pandemic Shocks and Household Spending pp. 273-299

David Finck and Peter Tillmann

Testing for a Moderately Explosive Process with Structural Change in Drift* pp. 300-333

Jingjie Xiang, Gangzheng Guo and Qing Zhao

Inference in Misspecified GARCH‐M Models pp. 334-355

Aaron D. Smallwood

Real Exchange Rates and Fundamentals in a new Markov‐STAR Model pp. 356-379

Philip Bertram, Teresa Flock, Jun Ma and Philipp Sibbertsen

Systemic Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Amplifications in the United Kingdom pp. 380-400

Somnath Chatterjee, Ching‐Wai (Jeremy) Chiu, Thibaut Duprey and Sinem Hacıoğlu‐Hoke

Why are the Contributions of Multinational Firms to Corporate Tax Revenues Declining? pp. 401-426

Katarzyna Bilicka

Intergenerational Precautionary Savings in Europe pp. 427-450

Francesco Scervini and Serena Trucchi

Does FDI in Upstream and Downstream Sectors Facilitate Quality Upgrading? Evidence from Russian Exporters pp. 451-471

Stavros Poupakis

Volume 84, month 02, 2022

Three Basic Issues that Arise when Using Informational Restrictions in SVARs pp. 1-20

Sam Ouliaris and Adrian Pagan

The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Evidence from Geopolitical Swings on the Korean Peninsula pp. 21-56

Jongrim Ha, Seohyun Lee and Inhwan So

Joint Decomposition of Business and Financial Cycles: Evidence from Eight Advanced Economies pp. 57-79

Jasper de Winter, Siem Jan Koopman and Irma Hindrayanto

Time‐Varying Dynamics of the German Business Cycle: A Comprehensive Investigation pp. 80-102

Magnus Reif

Youth Unemployment and Stigmatization Over the Business Cycle in Europe* pp. 103-129

Sara Ayllón, Javier Valbuena and Alexander Plum

Automatability of Work and Preferences for Redistribution pp. 130-157

André van Hoorn

Distributional Change: Assessing the Contribution of Household Income Sources pp. 158-184

Iryna Kyzyma, Alessio Fusco and Philippe Van Kerm

Long‐run Effects of Local Government Mergers on Educational Attainment and Income pp. 185-213

Astrid Marie Sandsør, Torberg Falch and Bjarne Strøm

Education, Dietary Intakes and Exercise pp. 214-240

Stephanie von Hinke

The Importance of Nutrition Education in Achieving Food Security and Adequate Nutrition of the Poor: Experimental Evidence from Bangladesh* pp. 241-271

Salauddin Tauseef