Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

1969 - 2025

Current editor(s): Christopher Adam, Anindya Banerjee, Christopher Bowdler, David Hendry, Adriaan Kalwij, John Knight and Jonathan Temple

From Department of Economics, University of Oxford
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Volume 77, month 12, 2015

Identification in Structural Vector Autoregressive Models with Structural Changes, with an Application to US Monetary Policy pp. 761-779

Emanuele Bacchiocchi and Luca Fanelli

Robust and Powerful Tests for Nonlinear Deterministic Components pp. 780-799

Sam Astill, David Harvey, Stephen Leybourne and Robert Taylor

Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni vs. Wald pp. 800-821

Helmut Lütkepohl, Anna Staszewska-Bystrova and Peter Winker

A Zero-Inflated Regression Model for Grouped Data pp. 822-831

Sarah Brown, Alan Duncan, Mark Harris, Jennifer Roberts and Karl Taylor

The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Micro Enterprises: Do Banks Matter? Evidence from Indian Manufacturing pp. 832-853

Asha Sundaram

Labour Demand Adjustment: Does Foreign Ownership Matter? pp. 854-871

Emmanuel Dhyne, Catherine Fuss and Claude Mathieu

The Low-Pay No-Pay Cycle: Are There Systematic Differences across Demographic Groups? pp. 872-896

King Fok, Rosanna Scutella and Roger Wilkins

On the Practice of Lagging Variables to Avoid Simultaneity pp. 897-905

W. Reed

Volume 77, month 10, 2015

The Stock Market Crash Really Did Cause the Great Recession pp. 617-633

Roger Farmer

Instability of the Inflation–Output Trade-Off and Time-Varying Price Rigidity pp. 634-654

Antonia López-Villavicencio and Valérie Mignon

The Influence and Policy Signalling Role of FOMC Forecasts pp. 655-680

Paul Hubert

Inflation perceptions and expectations in Sweden – Are media reports the missing link? pp. 681-700

Lena Dräger

Understanding Price Stickiness: Firm-level Evidence on Price Adjustment Lags and Their Asymmetries pp. 701-718

Daniel Dias, Carlos Marques, Fernando Martins and João Santos Silva

The Route to Take-up: Evidence from the UK Pension Credit Reform pp. 719-739

Francesca Zantomio

Bootstrap Co-integration Rank Testing: The Effect of Bias-Correcting Parameter Estimates pp. 740-759

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Robert Taylor and Carsten Trenkler

Volume 77, month 08, 2015

Testing for Exogeneity in Cointegrated Panels pp. 475-494

Lorenzo Trapani

On the Behaviour of Phillips–Perron Tests in the Presence of Persistent Cycles pp. 495-511

Tomás del Barrio Castro, Paulo Rodrigues and Robert Taylor

Part-Time Work, Fixed-Term Contracts, and the Returns to Experience pp. 512-541

Daniel Fernández-Kranz, Marie Paul and Núria Rodriguez-Planas

Returns to Skills and the Distribution of Wages: Spain 1995–2010 pp. 542-565

Raquel Carrasco, Juan F Jimeno and Carolina Ortega

Using Compulsory Mobility to Identify School Quality and Peer Effects pp. 566-587

Francis Kramarz, Stephen Machin and Amine Ouazad

The Oaxaca–Blinder Unexplained Component as a Treatment Effects Estimator pp. 588-604

Tymon Słoczyński

The Relative Performance of Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Estimators pp. 605-616

McKinley Blackburn

Volume 77, month 06, 2015

Labor Market Dynamics: A Time-Varying Analysis pp. 319-338

Haroon Mumtaz and Francesco Zanetti

Why Do African Banks Lend So Little? pp. 339-359

Svetlana Andrianova, Badi Baltagi, Panicos Demetriades and David Fielding

Forecasting GDP over the Business Cycle in a Multi-Frequency and Data-Rich Environment pp. 360-384

Marie Bessec and Othman Bouabdallah

Does Co-authorship Lead to Higher Academic Productivity? pp. 385-407

Lorenzo Ductor

Learning from Trade through Innovation pp. 408-436

Joze Damijan and Crt Kostevc

Investment Frictions and the Aggregate Output Loss in China pp. 437-465

Guiying Wu

What does Variation in Survey Design Reveal about the Nature of Measurement Errors in Household Consumption? pp. 466-474

John Gibson, Kathleen Beegle, Joachim De Weerdt and Jed Friedman

Volume 77, month 04, 2015

Equilibrium Unemployment Dynamics in a Panel of OECD Countries pp. 164-190

Ragnar Nymoen and Victoria Sparrman

Unofficial Development Assistance: A Model of Development Charities’ Donation Income pp. 191-209

Wiji Arulampalam, Peter Backus and John Micklewright

Partial Identification and Bound Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect of Education on Earnings for South Africa pp. 210-233

Martine Mariotti and Juergen Meinecke

Equity–Efficiency Optimizing Resource Allocation: The Role of Time Preferences in a Repeated Irrigation Game pp. 234-253

Bjorn Van Campenhout, Ben D'Exelle and Els Lecoutere

Trend and Initial Condition in Stationarity Tests: The Asymptotic Analysis pp. 254-273

Anton Skrobotov

A Partially Heterogeneous Framework for Analyzing Panel Data pp. 274-296

Vasilis Sarafidis and Neville Weber

Asymmetric Quantile Persistence and Predictability: the Case of US Inflation pp. 297-318

Sebastiano Manzan and Dawit Zerom

Volume 77, month 02, 2015

Do Elections Matter for Economic Performance? pp. 1-21

Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler

Forecasting Euro-Area Macroeconomic Variables Using a Factor Model Approach for Backdating pp. 22-39

Ralf Brüggemann and Jing Zeng

Production Technology Estimates and Balanced Growth pp. 40-65

Miguel Leon-Ledesma, Peter McAdam and Alpo Willman

Fitting and Forecasting Sovereign Defaults using Multiple Risk Signals pp. 66-92

Roberto Savona and Marika Vezzoli

Trading Partners and Trading Volumes: Implementing the Helpman–Melitz–Rubinstein Model Empirically pp. 93-105

João Santos Silva and Silvana Tenreyro

A Comparison of Sequential and Information-based Methods for Determining the Co-integration Rank in Heteroskedastic VAR Models pp. 106-128

Giuseppe Cavaliere, Luca De Angelis, Anders Rahbek and Robert Taylor

Sharp Bounds on Causal Effects under Sample Selection pp. 129-151

Martin Huber and Giovanni Mellace

On the Importance of the First Observation in GLS Detrending in Unit Root Testing pp. 152-161

Joakim Westerlund

Volume 76, month 12, 2014

Real-Time Nowcasting of GDP: A Factor Model vs. Professional Forecasters pp. 783-811

Joëlle Liebermann

Constructing Multi-Country Rational Expectations Models pp. 812-840

Stephane Dees, Mohammad Pesaran, L. Vanessa Smith and Ron P. Smith

Variable Selection in Cross-Section Regressions: Comparisons and Extensions pp. 841-873

Thomas Deckers and Christoph Hanck

Concept-Based Bayesian Model Averaging and Growth Empirics pp. 874-897

Jan Magnus and Wendun Wang

Poverty Dynamics of Households in Rural China pp. 898-923

Katsushi Imai and Jing You

Charity Art Auctions pp. 924-938

Jose J. Canals-Cerda

Volume 76, month 10, 2014

Break Date Estimation for Models with Deterministic Structural Change pp. 623-642

David Harvey and Stephen Leybourne

Do Danes and Italians Rate Life Satisfaction in the Same Way? Using Vignettes to Correct for Individual-Specific Scale Biases pp. 643-666

Viola Angelini, Danilo Cavapozzi, Luca Corazzini and Omar Paccagnella

Fiscal Foresight, Limited Information and the Effects of Government Spending Shocks pp. 667-692

Matteo Fragetta and Emanuel Gasteiger

Do Euro Area Countries Respond Asymmetrically to the Common Monetary Policy? pp. 693-714

Matteo Barigozzi, Antonio Conti and Matteo Luciani

Does Output Gap, Labour's Share or Unemployment Rate Drive Inflation? pp. 715-726

Markku Lanne and Jani Luoto

Job Loss and Entrepreneurship pp. 727-744

Knut Røed and Jens Fredrik Skogstrøm

Area Disparities in Britain: Understanding the Contribution of People vs. Place Through Variance Decompositions pp. 745-763

Stephen Gibbons, Henry Overman and Panu Pelkonen

The Impact of Thin-Capitalization Rules on External Debt Usage – A Propensity Score Matching Approach pp. 764-781

Georg Wamser

Volume 76, month 08, 2014

Employed and Unemployed Job Seekers and the Business Cycle pp. 463-483

Simonetta Longhi and Mark Taylor

Product Market Competition, Monetary Policy Regimes and Inflation Dynamics: Evidence from a Panel of OECD Countries pp. 484-509

Monica Correa-Lopez, Agustín García-Serrador and Cristina Mingorance-Arnáiz

Does the Macroeconomy Predict UK Asset Returns in a Nonlinear Fashion? Comprehensive Out-of-Sample Evidence pp. 510-535

Massimo Guidolin, Stuart Hyde, David McMillan and Sadayuki Ono

The Dynamics of Humanitarian Aid Decisions pp. 536-564

David Fielding

A Distributional Analysis of Earnings Losses of Displaced Workers in an Economic Depression and Recovery pp. 565-588

Ossi Korkeamäki and Tomi Kyyrä

Peer Effects in UK Adolescent Substance Use: Never Mind the Classmates? pp. 589-604

Duncan McVicar and Arnold Polanski

Extremal Dependence in International Output Growth: Tales from the Tails pp. 605-620

Miguel de Carvalho and António Rua

Mismeasured Household Size and Its Implications for the Identification of Economies of Scale: Correction pp. 621-621

Timothy Halliday

Volume 76, month 06, 2014

Specification Sensitivity in Right-Tailed Unit Root Testing for Explosive Behaviour pp. 315-333

Peter Phillips, Shuping Shi and Jun Yu

Does Education Matter for Economic Growth? pp. 334-359

Michael S. Delgado, Daniel Henderson and Christopher Parmeter

Identifying Changes in Mean, Seasonality, Persistence and Volatility for G7 and Euro Area Inflation pp. 360-388

Erdenebat Bataa, Denise Osborn, Marianne Sensier and Dick van Dijk

Industry Dynamics and Competition from Low-Wage Countries: Evidence on Italy pp. 389-410

Stefano Federico

Taxes and Benefits: Two Options to Cheat on the State pp. 411-431

Martin Halla and Friedrich Schneider

Firm Recruitment Behaviour: Sequential or Non-sequential Search? pp. 432-455

Jos van Ommeren and Giovanni Russo

Local Asymptotic Power of Breitung's Test pp. 456-462

Mehdi Hosseinkouchack

Volume 76, month 04, 2014

The Long-Run Impact of Foreign Aid in 36 African Countries: Insights from Multivariate Time Series Analysis pp. 153-184

Katarina Juselius, Niels Møller and Finn Tarp

Do Low-Wage Workers React Less to Longer Unemployment Benefits? Quasi-Experimental Evidence pp. 185-207

Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo

How does Monetary Policy Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? New International Evidence pp. 208-232

Hilde Bjørnland and Jørn I. Halvorsen

Density Nowcasts and Model Combination: Nowcasting Euro-Area GDP Growth over the 2008–09 Recession pp. 233-256

Gian Luigi Mazzi, James Mitchell and Gaetana Montana

How Do Alphas and Betas Move? Uncertainty, Learning and Time Variation in Risk Loadings pp. 257-278

Carmine Trecroci

GMM Estimation with Non-causal Instruments under Rational Expectations pp. 279-286

Matthijs Lof

Incorporating Asymmetric Preferences into Fan Charts and Path Forecasts pp. 287-297

Matei Demetrescu and Mu-Chun Wang

Indirect Estimation of Semiparametric Binary Choice Models pp. 298-314

Joakim Westerlund and Per Hjertstrand

Volume 76, month 02, 2014

Productivity, R&D Spillovers and Educational Attainment pp. 1-23

Vania Sena and Dolores Anon Higon

The Relative Price of Non-traded Goods under Imperfect Competition pp. 24-40

Javier Coto-Martinez and Juan Reboredo

Multinational Exposure and the Quality of New Chinese Exports pp. 41-66

Deborah Swenson and Huiya Chen

Institutions and Bank Performance: A Stochastic Frontier Analysis pp. 67-92

Robert Lensink and Aljar Meesters

Unit Root Testing under a Local Break in Trend using Partial Information on the Break Date pp. 93-111

David Harvey, Stephen Leybourne and Robert Taylor

Estimating and Forecasting with a Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Model pp. 112-138

Badi Baltagi, Bernard Fingleton and Alain Pirotte

On the Applicability of the Sieve Bootstrap in Time Series Panels pp. 139-151

Stephan Smeekes and Jean-Pierre Urbain