Discipline, Signaling, and Currency Boards
Maria‐Angels Oliva,
Luis A. Rivera‐Batiz and
Amadou Sy
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Luis Rivera-Batiz
Review of International Economics, 2001, vol. 9, issue 4, 608-625
Abstract:
The paper models the choice between currency boards (CBs) and adjustable pegs (or managed floating). Countries adopting CBs have grown faster and inflated less on average than countries adopting other regimes. The explanation hinges on key features of CBs: policy discipline and inflation credibility. The authors find separating equilibria in which a weak government chooses a CB as a discipline device while a tough government chooses a standard peg for its policy flexibility. Paradoxically, the weak government can then outperform the tough government on average. In simulations performed, CBs welfare can exceed peg welfare even when unemployment persistence is strong.
Date: 2001
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