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A Latticework of Inflation Models

Thomas Mayer

The Economists' Voice, 2024, vol. 21, issue 1, 7-28

Abstract: Economists have repeatedly developed various theories for the origin of inflation and claimed that these theories were always valid everywhere. But history has shown that the theories – although they are useful – were only valid during certain time periods and under special circumstances. What is therefore needed is a system that assigns the various explanations of inflation to the specific circumstances for which they are particularly suited. This paper sets out such a system. Borrowing from Charlie Munger's (2005. Poor Charlie’s Almanack. Stripe Press), I call it a “latticework of inflation models”. In the first section 1 map the various inflation theories and then discuss and relate them to each other in the following sections. I find that during and after the pandemic several drivers of inflation were at work, so that several theories of inflation instead of just one allow a more comprehensive explanation of the inflation experienced during this period. The “latticework of inflation models” is also better suited than just one model for investigating the outlook for inflation.

Keywords: price level; inflation; deflation, money supply; credit; money multipliers, monetary policy, central banks and their policies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E51 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1515/ev-2024-0028

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