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Pakistan-EU Commodity Trade: Is there Evidence of J-Curve Effect?

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee (), Iqbal Javed () and Muzammil Muhammad ()
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Muzammil Muhammad: School of Economics, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan

Global Economy Journal, 2017, vol. 17, issue 2, 8

Abstract: In investigating the short run and the long run impact of currency depreciation on Pakistan’s trade balance, previous studies have either relied on using bilateral trade data between Pakistan and her trade partners or between Pakistan and the rest of the world and have found not much support for successful depreciation. Suspecting that these studies may suffer from aggregation bias, in this paper we use disaggregated trade data at commodity level from 77 industries that trade between Pakistan and EU. While we find short-run significant effects in 22 industries, these effects do not last into the long run in most industries. Most of the affected industries are found to be small, as measured by their trade shares.

Keywords: J-Curve; bound testing; commodity trade; Pakistan; EU (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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