Pakistan-EU Commodity Trade: Is there Evidence of J-Curve Effect?

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, Javed Iqbal, Misbah Nosheen and Muhammad Muzammil

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In investigating the short run and the long run impact of currency depreciation on Pakistan’s trade balance, previous studies have either relied on using bilateral trade data between Pakistan and her trade partners or between Pakistan and the rest of the world and have found not much support for successful depreciation. Suspecting that these studies may suffer from aggregation bias, in this paper we use disaggregated trade data at commodity level from 77 industries that trade between Pakistan and EU. While we find short-run significant effects in 22 industries, these effects do not last into the long run in most industries. Most of the affected industries are found to be small, as measured by their trade shares.

Keywords: J-Curve; Bound testing; commodity trade; Pakistan; EU. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016-01-18, Revised 2016-03-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Pakistan-EU Commodity Trade: Is there Evidence of J-Curve Effect? (2017)
Journal Article: Pakistan-EU Commodity Trade: Is there Evidence of J-Curve Effect? (2017)
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