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Valuation of a Company using Time Series Analysis

Pohl Philipp ()
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Pohl Philipp: Department of Business, Cooperative State University Karlsruhe, Erzbergerstrasse 121, 76133Karlsruhe, Germany

Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, 2017, vol. 12, issue 1, 1-39

Abstract: In this paper we present an approach to value-based management of companies using time series analysis. We present a technique for projecting cash flows in order to calculate the company value using time series analysis. We consider a new, indirect approach and a direct approach of projecting cash flows. We analyse both models from the perspective of value-based management. Finally, company value is calculated for both models, as a point estimate and as a distribution function respectively. As shown in the article, the distribution function of corporate value is a normal distribution function. On this basis, it is possible to apply all instruments of value-at-risk analysis.

Keywords: time series analysis; value-at-risk analysis; value-based management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1515/jbvela-2015-0004

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