Distressed Firm Valuation: A Scenario Discounted Cash Flow Approach

Buttignon Fabio ()
Additional contact information
Buttignon Fabio: Department of Economics and Management "Marco Fanno", University of Padua, Padova, Italy

Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, 2020, vol. 15, issue 1, 47

Abstract: Valuation of a distressed company is a very tricky issue, for which many approaches and methods have been provided by the literature. Unfortunately, many of the more suitable proposals from a theoretical point of view (i.e., those based on option pricing theory, and even integrated with game theory) are very difficult to apply to real cases. To face the many contingencies emerging in a real case valuation, a scenario discounted cash flow (SDCF) model is provided here. The focus is on companies at an advanced stage of distress, where their ability to operate as a going concern is in question, and maintenance or recovery of business continuity requires significant interventions in the firm’s strategic, operational, and financial structure. In this context, SDCF, with a number of arrangements elaborated here, appears useful for valuing assets, debt, and equity – from current or potential new investors – and the interactions between them, which are particularly critical for distressed companies. At the same time, SDCF takes into account the firm’s liquidation option, not only at the valuation date but even after a restructuring plan has been launched. The going-concern value including the liquidation option should be the reference point for judging the suitability of business continuity compared to liquidation. In presenting the model, the key concepts and methodology adopted are set out following a numerical example inspired by a real case.

Keywords: asset valuation; debt valuation; distressed firm valuation; equity valuation; business restructuring (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.1515/jbvela-2020-0002 (text/html)
For access to full text, subscription to the journal or payment for the individual article is required.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bpj:jbvela:v:15:y:2020:i:1:p:47:n:3

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.degruyter.com/journal/key/jbvela/html

DOI: 10.1515/jbvela-2020-0002

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis is currently edited by Bradley T. Ewing and James J. Hoffman

More articles in Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis from De Gruyter
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Peter Golla ().