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Inflation, Investment and Valuation

Cornell Bradford (), Gerger Richard (), Jarrell Gregg A. () and Canessa James L. ()
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Cornell Bradford: Emeritus Professor of Finance, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Gerger Richard: Cornell/Gerger, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Jarrell Gregg A.: Emeritus Professor of Finance and Economics, Simon Business School, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, USA
Canessa James L.: Forensic Economics, Rochester, NY, USA

Journal of Business Valuation and Economic Loss Analysis, 2021, vol. 16, issue 1, 1-13

Abstract: In any context where a discounted cash flow valuation is required, there is the issue of estimating the continuing value. The most common way to do that is to assume that by the terminal horizon the company is in a steady state and is growing at a constant rate. The issue is how to handle inflation. The problem is that it is often done wrong and the impact is typically material. Because there remains significant confusion, in this paper we simplify the analysis by isolating the two key issues and providing example calculations. We show that even at the current 2% level proper treatment of inflation has a sizeable impact on valuation. If inflation were to accelerate as a result of current monetary and fiscal policies, the significance of this issue will increase.

Keywords: inflation; terminal value; growth; investment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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DOI: 10.1515/jbvela-2020-0029

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