Evaluation of Earthquake Emergency Plan Based on SD Model

Chang Ran (), Zhao Qiuhong () and Mladenovic Nenad ()
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Chang Ran: School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
Zhao Qiuhong: School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China
Mladenovic Nenad: Mathematical Institute, Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Belgrade, 11000, Serbia

Journal of Systems Science and Information, 2017, vol. 5, issue 4, 289-301

Abstract: Based on the system dynamics (SD) model, this paper puts forward a quantitative method to evaluate the earthquake emergency plan in China. Firstly, we analyze the disaster system structure and the content of plan. Using the analysis results, we establish a system dynamics (SD) model and then carry out its simulation. According to the simulation results, the rescue effect using the plan of 2012 is better than that of 2006. From the policy level, in order to reduce loss, government should maintain communication smoothly, improve the ability of self and mutual help, strengthen the management of public opinion, and pay more attention to secondary disasters.

Keywords: earthquake emergency plan; SD modeling; plan evaluation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bpj:jossai:v:5:y:2017:i:4:p:289-301:n:1

DOI: 10.21078/JSSI-2017-289-13

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