Life on the bubble: Who’s in and who’s out of March Madness?

Leman Scotland C. (), House Leanna, Szarka John and Nelson Hayley
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Leman Scotland C.: Virginia Tech – Statisitics, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA
House Leanna: Virginia Tech – Statisitics, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA
Szarka John: Virginia Tech – Statisitics, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA
Nelson Hayley: Virginia Tech – Statisitics, Blacksburg, VA 24061, USA

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2014, vol. 10, issue 3, 315-328

Abstract: Yearly, the top National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA), Division I, men’s basketball teams compete for the national championship, in what is commonly referred to as “March Madness.” Teams are eligible for the tournament when they either win their conference tournament or are invited by a NCAA selection committee. Various factors influence the committee’s decision. Of primary importance is the perceived strength of a team; however, the possible measures used to assess a team’s strength can vary widely. These metrics are of particular interest for teams on the borderline or “on the bubble” of tournament inclusion. Using historical data, we assess which metrics play the most substantial roles in predicting tournament inclusion. Additionally, we determine guidelines for constructing a team’s schedule that are based on these metrics to enhance the chance of being selected for the tournament.

Keywords: basketball; March Madness; NCAA; selection sunday (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2013-0080

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