Stochastic model of the 2012 PGA Tour season

Heiny Erik L. () and Heiny Robert Lowell
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Heiny Erik L.: Utah Valley University, Department of Mathematics, 800 W University Parkway, Orem, UT 84058, USA
Heiny Robert Lowell: University of Northern Colorado, School of Mathematical Sciences, 501 20th St., Greeley, CO 80639, USA

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2014, vol. 10, issue 4, 367-379

Abstract: An absorbing Markov chain was used to model the 2012 PGA Tour Golf Season. Expected number of steps until absorption was used to establish expected scores for different locations (fairway, primary rough, green, etc.) and distances from the hole. Strokes gained analysis was then performed to evaluate the quality of each shot hit by players on the 2012 PGA Tour. Skill rankings were developed, tradeoffs between distance and accuracy were assessed, and player strategy was analyzed for playing par 5s.

Keywords: golf; Markov chains; stochastic processes (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2014-0043

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