openWAR: An open source system for evaluating overall player performance in major league baseball
Baumer Benjamin S. (),
Jensen Shane T. and
Matthews Gregory J.
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Baumer Benjamin S.: Smith College – Statistical and Data Sciences, Northampton, MA, USA
Jensen Shane T.: Statistics, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA
Matthews Gregory J.: Mathematics and Statistics, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2015, vol. 11, issue 2, 69-84
Abstract:
Within sports analytics, there is substantial interest in comprehensive statistics intended to capture overall player performance. In baseball, one such measure is wins above replacement (WAR), which aggregates the contributions of a player in each facet of the game: hitting, pitching, baserunning, and fielding. However, current versions of WAR depend upon proprietary data, ad hoc methodology, and opaque calculations. We propose a competitive aggregate measure, openWAR, that is based on public data, a methodology with greater rigor and transparency, and a principled standard for the nebulous concept of a “replacement” player. Finally, we use simulation-based techniques to provide interval estimates for our openWAR measure that are easily portable to other domains.
Keywords: baseball; R; reproducibility; simulation; statistical modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)
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DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2014-0098
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