A family of solutions related to Shin’s model for probability forecasts

Kizildemir Melis, Akin Ertugrul and Alkan Altug ()
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Kizildemir Melis: Informatics Institute, Middle East Technical University, Ankara, Türkiye
Akin Ertugrul: Department of Civil Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Istanbul, Türkiye
Alkan Altug: Institute of Graduate Studies, 187480 Piri Reis University , Istanbul, Türkiye

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2025, vol. 21, issue 2, 153-158

Abstract: This work develops a family of solutions related to Shin’s model in producing accurate probability forecasts. More precisely, closed-form solutions are derived based on an analytical approach to known solutions and evaluated experimentally for sports betting data sets.

Keywords: probability forecasting; Shin’s model; sports forecasting (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:21:y:2025:i:2:p:153-158:n:1005

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DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2024-0064

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