EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

In Search of the "Last-Ups" Advantage in Baseball: A Game-Theoretic Approach

Theodore Turocy ()

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2008, vol. 4, issue 2, 1-20

Abstract: Received wisdom in baseball takes it as a given that it is an advantage have the last turn at bat in a baseball game. This belief is supported, implicitly or explicitly, by an argument that the team on offense benefits by knowing with certainty the number of runs it must score in the final inning. Because the discrete nature of plays in baseball lends itself naturally to a model of a baseball contest as a zero-sum Markov game, this hypothesis can be tested formally. In a model where teams may employ the bunt, stolen base, and intentional walk, there is no significant quantitative advantage conferred by the order in which teams bat, and in some cases batting first may be of slight advantage. In practice, the answer to the question may be determined by actions more subtle than previously considered, such as the extent to which the defensive team can influence the distribution of run-scoring by pitch selection or fielder positioning.

Date: 2008
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.2202/1559-0410.1104 (text/html)
For access to full text, subscription to the journal or payment for the individual article is required.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:4:y:2008:i:2:n:5

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.degruyter.com/view/j/jqas

DOI: 10.2202/1559-0410.1104

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports is currently edited by Mark Glickman

More articles in Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports from De Gruyter
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Peter Golla ().

 
Page updated 2021-06-09
Handle: RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:4:y:2008:i:2:n:5