Rating/Ranking Systems, Post-Season Bowl Games, and "The Spread"
Trono John A.
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Trono John A.: Saint Michael’s College
Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2010, vol. 6, issue 3, 20
Abstract:
A previous article (Trono, 2005) documented how two different rating systems "outperformed" the Las Vegas betting line on NCAA bowl games when they individually disagreed with the line on which team should be favored. This article addresses several shortcomings in one of the two aforementioned systems, extends the analysis in a few new directions for both systems, adds the five most recent years of bowl games to this investigation, and includes one more recently published ranking system in this extensive study that goes back to 1983.
Keywords: rating systems; college football; bowl game predictions (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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DOI: 10.2202/1559-0410.1220
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