Home Advantage in American College Football Games: A Multilevel Modelling Approach

Wang Winnie, Ron Johnston and Jones Kelvyn
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Wang Winnie: University of Bristol
Jones Kelvyn: University of Bristol

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2011, vol. 7, issue 3, 20

Abstract: This study examines home advantage in American college football games from a multilevel perspective. It quantifies the extent and significance of that home advantage and examines how it varies between BCS and non-BCS teams as well as analyzing the relationship between home advantage and team parity. Our results indicate that home advantage exists for most teams and conferences. It equates to a 6 point advantage for home teams and a 3-point disadvantage for away teams when controlling for team strength and other predictors. It concludes that after controlling for team ability, non-BCS teams possess a stronger home advantage than BCS teams. Such a result is likely related to the greater parity among BCS teams which leads to a "choking under pressure" effect for them in closely played games.

Keywords: home advantage; American football; multilevel modelling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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DOI: 10.2202/1559-0410.1328

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