Looking at spacings to assess streakiness

Albert Jim ()
Additional contact information
Albert Jim: Bowling Green State University-Mathematics and Statistics Bowling Green, Ohio, USA

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 2013, vol. 9, issue 2, 151-163

Abstract: There is much interest in studying the hot hand behavior of individuals and teams in sports. We collect success/failure data for each of the hitters in a particular baseball season, focusing on the spacings or number of at-bats between consecutive successes. Consistent and streaky models are defined on the basis of the underlying geometric probabilities and a Bayes factor statistic is developed to compare the two models. By looking at the ensemble of test statistics over all players, we see if the patterns of streakiness differ from what one would predict from a consistent hitting model. An interesting observation from this study is the pattern of streakiness depends on how one defines a success in a plate appearance.

Keywords: Bayes factor; geometric distribution; predictive distribution (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.1515/jqas-2012-0015 (text/html)
For access to full text, subscription to the journal or payment for the individual article is required.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:9:y:2013:i:2:p:151-163:n:3

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://www.degruyter.com/journal/key/jqas/html

DOI: 10.1515/jqas-2012-0015

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports is currently edited by Mark Glickman

More articles in Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports from De Gruyter
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Peter Golla ().