Distribution of Military Power and Prospects of Post-Conflict Peace

Bussmann Margit () and Ranft Florian
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Bussmann Margit: University of Greifswald, Germany
Ranft Florian: University of Greifswald, Germany

Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, 2016, vol. 22, issue 4, 385-392

Abstract: This study focuses on the distribution of military capabilities in the aftermath of civil wars and how it affects the recurrence of further fighting. Using survival analysis the empirical tests cover 48 post-conflict episodes in 33 countries and includes novel measurements on military capabilities. We find that peace is more likely to endure following military victories and peace agreements and when conflict parties are able to credibly signal their intentions to commit laying down arms.

Keywords: military capabilities; post-conflict stability; civil war recurrence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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DOI: 10.1515/peps-2016-0024

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