International Adjudication and Public Opinion in Territorial Disputes: Evidence from a Survey Experiment Using Amazon Mechanical Turk

Justwan Florian () and Fisher Sarah K.
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Justwan Florian: University of Idaho, Department of Politics and Philosophy, 875 Perimeter Drive, MS 3165, Moscow, Idaho 83843, USA
Fisher Sarah K.: Emory and Henry College, Politics, Law & International Relations, Emory, Virginia, USA

Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, 2017, vol. 23, issue 3, 18

Abstract: This article explores the effects of international adjudication on individual-level attitudes in territorial disputes. In particular, we investigate the micro-foundations for the argument that international court rulings provide political cover for governments settling disputes through unpopular territorial concessions. In an online survey conducted for this project, 494 Indian respondents were confronted with a fictitious foreign policy scenario. A randomized experiment embedded in the survey provides four major findings. First, international adjudication makes citizens more willing to support concessions in border disputes. Second, international courts influence the perceived fairness of comprosmise solutions. Third, legal conflict management mediates the emotional fallout of territorial concessions. Finally, we do not find any evidence for the claim that international adjudication reduces individual-level concerns over commitment problems. By focusing on individual-level data, this article provides an important contribution to the literature on international conflict management.

Keywords: Territorial disputes; conflict management; public opinion; survey experiment; political cover (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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DOI: 10.1515/peps-2017-0003

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