A Cross-National Analysis of Forced Population Resettlement in Counterinsurgency Campaigns

Böhmelt Tobias (), Dworschak Christoph (), Pilster Ulrich and Walterskirchen Julian
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Böhmelt Tobias: University of Essex, Colchester, UK
Dworschak Christoph: University of Essex, Colchester, UK
Pilster Ulrich: University of Essex, Colchester, UK
Walterskirchen Julian: University Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria

Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, 2020, vol. 26, issue 1, 13

Abstract: This article studies the forcible relocation of large segments of the society in times of war. Theoretically, our work is based on the hearts-and-minds approach for explaining counterinsurgents’ strategies. We link this general framework to two more specific factors: insurgents’ external support and the incumbent’s status as a foreign occupier. The main contribution of our research is given by the cross-country empirical analysis, where we combine data on population displacement and counterinsurgency campaigns after World War II. We show that insurgents’ external support and incumbents’ status as a foreign occupier are among the main factors raising the risk of forced population resettlement. This article is a systematic, quantitative study of forced displacement across a large set of conflicts, and we demonstrate that the mechanisms behind forcible relocation as an indiscriminate strategy follow major trends across insurgencies.

Keywords: counterinsurgency; forced population resettlement; quantitative analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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DOI: 10.1515/peps-2019-0022

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