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Examining the Military Spending Economic Growth Nexus in the Presence of Informality: Evidence from the Balkan Peninsula

Dimitraki Ourania (), Emmanouilidis Kyriakos () and Asllani Alban ()
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Dimitraki Ourania: Graduate School of Business, Bedfordshire University, University Square, Luton, LU1 3JU, UK
Emmanouilidis Kyriakos: Business Administration and Economics Department, City College, University of York Europe Campus, Thessaloniki, Greece
Asllani Alban: Royal Docks School of Business and Law, Business Entrepreneurship and Finance Department, University of East London, University Square Stratford, London, 1 Salway Road, E15 1NF, UK

Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, 2024, vol. 30, issue 4, 505-523

Abstract: This paper examines the military expenditure (milex) economic growth nexus, in selected Balkan and peripheral countries from 1990 to 2022, considering the presence of informality within an institutional framework. Specifically, we employ Principal Components Analysis (PCA) to formulate an index of informality and use the Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) and Fully-Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) methods to identify the long-run equilibria. To provide a more comprehensive insight, the study also incorporates two types of causality tests – Dumitrescu-Hurlin and Juodis et al. – to determine the direction of the relationships. Our findings indicate that in the long-run milex can be detrimental to economic growth whilst informality boosts it.

Keywords: economic growth; military spending; informality; Balkan peninsula (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 E26 H56 O17 O40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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DOI: 10.1515/peps-2024-0029

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