The age-productivity profile: long-run evidence from Italian regions

Federico Barbiellini Amidei, Matteo Gomellini, Lorenzo Incoronato () and Paolo Piselli
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Matteo Gomellini: Bank of Italy

JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, 2025, vol. 91, issue 4, 641-662

Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of demographic shifts on labor productivity by leveraging variation in the age structure of Italian regions. These effects are analyzed along a first channel – the direct relation between population age and productivity – and a second channel capturing the productivity implications of a more or less dispersed age distribution. We propose an estimation framework that relates regional productivity to the entire age distribution of the working-age population and use instrumental variable techniques to address endogeneity issues. The estimates yield a hump-shaped age-productivity profile peaking between 35 and 40 years. We also document non-linear effects of regional age dispersion on productivity.

Keywords: Productivity; Demography; Age distribution; Working-age population; Long-run (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 J21 N30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025-12-05
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https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2024.24 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: The age-productivity profile: long-run evidence from Italian regions (2025)
Working Paper: The Age-Productivity Profile:Long-Run Evidence from Italian Regions (2020)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ctl:louvde:v:91:y:2025:i:4:p:641-662

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