Business Conditions in Presidential Election Years

William F. Ogburn and A. J. Jaffe

American Political Science Review, 1936, vol. 30, issue 2, 269-275

Abstract: The influence of the business cycle on politics has been studied by Rice and Tibbitts. But the influence of politics on the business cycle has not been systematically investigated, although Ayres has shown that prosperous times are about equally divided between Republican and Democratic administrations, and Mitchell has shown that the curve of business during presidential administrations is not at all like the business cycle. There is a popular impression that business is not as good during the year of a presidential election as in other years. It is the purpose of this paper to present the results of an investigation of this question.

Date: 1936
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