Economic Conditions and the Presidential Vote

Robert S. Erikson

American Political Science Review, 1989, vol. 83, issue 2, 567-573

Abstract: This analysis demonstrates that the relative growth of per capita income change is an important determinant of post-World War II presidential election outcomes. Per capita income change is even a better predictor of presidential election outcomes than the electorate's relative attraction to the Democratic and Republican candidates as calibrated in National Election Study surveys. The significance of this finding is discussed.

Date: 1989
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