Evidence of Learning and Risk Orientation During International Crises: The Munich and Polish Cases

Stephen G. Walker, Daniel Bohlin, Robert Boos, David Cownie, Hiroshi Nakajima and Timothy Willson

British Journal of Political Science, 1984, vol. 14, issue 1, 33-51

Abstract: There is a growing body of literature dealing with the anticipation and management of international crises. However, there has been relatively little attention paid to the learning effects of successive ‘real world’ confrontations between the same protagonists. This gap is somewhat paradoxical, since there is a great emphasis upon ‘teaching’ the adversary certain lessons in the deterrence literature, and a preoccupation with ‘vicarious learning’ by policy makers who do not wish to repeat the mistakes of their predecessors.

Date: 1984
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