A Stochastic Simulation Analysis of a Small-Scale Catfish Processing Plant

William Branch and Daniel S. Tilley

Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 1992, vol. 24, issue 2, 183-196

Abstract: Stochastic simulation was used to analyze revenues and costs for a small-scale catfish processing plant under various combinations of operating capacity utilization and price paid for live fish. The probability for a positive level of daily net income ranged from 11 to 100 percent depending on the price paid for live fish and level of operating capacity utilized. Daily average total cost per pound of live fish processed changed by 2.10 percent given a 10 percent change in live fish processed. Short-term cyclical patterns in revenues and costs suggest a need for financial planning to provide for possible year-end revenue shortfalls.

Date: 1992
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